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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver, CO | 94% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 92¢ · 95¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Las Vegas, NV | 93% | −1 pts | +10 pts | 92¢ · 94¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Philadelphia, PA | 5% | −1 pts | −9 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Portland, OR | 9% | — | +4 pts | 7¢ · 10¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| New Orleans, LA | 8% | — | −20 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Minneapolis, MN | 5% | — | −3 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Seattle, WA | 8% | +3 pts | −31 pts | 6¢ · 11¢ (6¢) | — | in 69d |
| New York, NY | 3% | 0 pts | −6 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Chicago, IL | 6% | −1 pts | −9 pts | 4¢ · 8¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Washington, DC | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Pittsburgh, PA | 5% | 0 pts | −6 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Charlotte, NC | 3% | 0 pts | −7 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 69d |
| St. Louis, MO | 5% | +1 pts | −7 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 69d |
| London, UK | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Tokyo, Japan | 3% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Detroit, MI | 13% | −8 pts | −1 pts | 11¢ · 14¢ (3¢) | $159 | in 69d |
| Sacramento, CA | 14% | −6 pts | −4 pts | 12¢ · 15¢ (3¢) | $122 | in 69d |
| Baltimore, MD | 8% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 6¢ · 11¢ (5¢) | $40.1 | in 69d |
| Boston, MA | 6% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | $19 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92d |  FrozenParasite | Boston, MA | BuyNo74¢ → 95¢ | $1,056 | +$284 +27% | 37 |
FrozenParasite1,480 shares
LornaPredicts269 shares
Poivre59 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 94¢ for Denver, CO means the market gives it about 94%.