| France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,527 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $3,423 | +$88 +2.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 17¢ → 98¢ | $488 | +$403 +474% |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 449 | 23¢ → 86¢ | $384 | +$278 +264% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 341 | 29¢ → >99¢ | $340 | +$240 +240% |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 27¢ → 81¢ | $324 | +$216 +200% |
| Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 396 | 20¢ → 82¢ | $323 | +$243 +303% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 22¢ → 80¢ | $318 | +$230 +261% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Ends in 2d | Yes | 320 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $317 | +$23 +8.0% |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 313 | 22¢ → 92¢ | $288 | +$218 +313% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$53 +23% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 43¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$152 +118% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 26¢ → 69¢ | $276 | +$172 +165% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 464 | 19¢ → 59¢ | $274 | +$188 +218% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 46¢ → 88¢ | $263 | +$125 +90% |
| Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 403 | 11¢ → 64¢ | $259 | +$214 +472% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 47¢ → 60¢ | $238 | +$52 +28% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 52¢ → 92¢ | $229 | +$99 +76% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 22¢ → 76¢ | $227 | +$161 +245% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 254 | 24¢ → 87¢ | $220 | +$159 +262% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | No | 281 | 20¢ → 76¢ | $215 | +$159 +285% |
| Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 420 | 13¢ → 51¢ | $212 | +$157 +286% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 450 | 27¢ → 44¢ | $198 | +$77 +64% |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 197 | 30¢ → 98¢ | $192 | +$132 +220% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 248 | 9¢ → 77¢ | $191 | +$170 +797% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 800 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $188 | −$2 −1.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 37¢ → 62¢ | $185 | +$75 +68% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 19¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$145 +382% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 240 | 19¢ → 76¢ | $182 | +$137 +300% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 900 | 15¢ → 19¢ | $166 | +$31 +23% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 240 | 37¢ → 69¢ | $166 | +$77 +88% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 158 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $154 | +$24 +18% |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 713 | 14¢ → 19¢ | $137 | +$34 +33% |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 190 | 28¢ → 66¢ | $124 | +$71 +134% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 800 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $124 | +$28 +29% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 662 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $121 | −$25 −17% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 400 | 30¢ → 30¢ | $118 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 700 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $112 | +$22 +25% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?Ends in 68d | No | 425 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $111 | +$9 +8.3% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 706 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $109 | −$20 −15% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 350 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $107 | +$5 +5.2% |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 114 | 18¢ → 92¢ | $105 | +$85 +414% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 21¢ → 35¢ | $105 | +$42 +67% |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 438 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $103 | +$31 +43% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | No | 543 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $101 | −$4 −4.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 303 | 24¢ → 33¢ | $100 | +$29 +40% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 800 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $100 | −$4 −3.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 350 | 16¢ → 28¢ | $100 | +$44 +78% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Ends in 2d | Yes | 100 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$7 +7.7% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 2d | Yes | 300 | 15¢ → 33¢ | $98 | +$53 +117% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 600 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $95 | −$23 −19% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 400 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $94 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 450 | 19¢ → 21¢ | $93 | +$8 +8.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 46¢ | $92 | +$26 +39% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 46¢ | $92 | +$26 +39% |
| Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,557 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $90 | −$25 −22% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?Ends in 68d | No | 834 | 7¢ → 11¢ | $88 | +$28 +47% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 342 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $87 | −$8 −8.5% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $87 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 35¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$51 +145% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 425 | 15¢ → 19¢ | $81 | +$17 +27% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 250 | 25¢ → 31¢ | $78 | +$15 +24% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 181 | 42¢ → 41¢ | $73 | −$3 −3.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 160 | 44¢ → 44¢ | $70 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 30¢ → 35¢ | $70 | +$10 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 232 | 26¢ → 30¢ | $68 | +$7 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 34¢ → 34¢ | $67 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 209 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $67 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 1,870 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $65 | −$74 −53% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 310 | 26¢ → 21¢ | $65 | −$16 −20% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 33¢ | $65 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 400 | 11¢ → 16¢ | $64 | +$20 +45% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 180 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $63 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 462 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $62 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 196 | 31¢ → 32¢ | $62 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 430 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $60 | −$9 −13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 186 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $60 | −$2 −3.2% |
| Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 69 | 26¢ → 86¢ | $59 | +$41 +229% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 550 | 16¢ → 11¢ | $58 | −$31 −35% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 325 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $57 | −$5 −7.9% |
| Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $57 | +$15 +34% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $56 | −$44 −44% |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Ends in 176d | Yes | 219 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $56 | −$3 −5.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 600 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $54 | −$6 −10% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 27¢ | $54 | −$12 −18% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 115 | 36¢ → 46¢ | $53 | +$11 +28% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 700 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $52 | −$27 −34% |
| Sweden snap election called in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 400 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $52 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 641 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $51 | −$12 −18% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 250 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $51 | −$11 −18% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 408 | 18¢ → 13¢ | $51 | −$23 −31% |
| Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?Ends in 11d | No | 400 | 21¢ → 13¢ | $50 | −$34 −40% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 1,000 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $50 | −$40 −44% |
| Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Ends ended | Yes | 258 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $48 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 575 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $47 | −$11 −18% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 10h | No | 550 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $47 | −$52 −53% |
| Will Pernille Harder finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 350 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $45 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 262 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $44 | −$5 −9.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 370 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $44 | −$22 −33% |
| Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 49 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $44 | +$3 +7.0% |
| Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 45 | 23¢ → 97¢ | $44 | +$33 +321% |
