Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU/CSU & SPD | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| CDU/CSU, SPD, & Greens | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CDU/CSU & AfD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CDU/CSU & Greens | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CDU/CSU, SPD, & FDP | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CDU/CSU, FDP, & Greens | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SPD, FDP, & Greens | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 536d | Upset-Abacus | CDU/CSU & AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $3,359 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 536d | tktt | CDU/CSU & SPD | SellYes>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 536d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 536d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,828 | +$19 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 536d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $5,871 | +$1,730 +29% | 4 | |
| 536d | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,293 | +$24 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 536d | CDU/CSU, SPD, & FDP | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,214 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 536d | CDU/CSU & AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,351 | +$27 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 536d | CDU/CSU & AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $11,888 | −$12 −0.1% | — | |
| 536d | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $18,552 | −$37 −0.2% | — | |
| 536d | z0vulon | CDU/CSU & SPD | SellYes>99¢ | $1,604 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 536d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,544 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 536d | pantomime | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 536d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,633 | +$33 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 536d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $32,809 | +$304 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 536d | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $72,042 | +$309 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 537d | Got2Luvya | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $7,315 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 537d | Got2Luvya | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,315 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 537d | Got2Luvya | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,740 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 538d | wokerjoesleeper5 fills | CDU/CSU & AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,052 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | wokerjoesleeper4 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,289 | +$19 +0.3% | 4 |
| 538d | cigarettes13 fills | Other | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,319 | +$206 +0.7% | 4 |
| 538d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $23,884 | +$375 +1.6% | 4 | |
| 538d | cigarettes17 fills | CDU/CSU & AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,581 | +$152 +0.4% | 4 |
| 539d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,064 | +$178 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 542d | wubddh | CDU/CSU & SPD | SellYes>99¢ | $1,922 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 542d | cigarettes12 fills | CDU/CSU, SPD, & Greens | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,258 | +$128 +0.6% | 4 |
| 542d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 542d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,207 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 542d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes100¢ | $1,388 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 544d | yuroo | SPD, FDP, & Greens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,667 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 544d | yuroo | SPD, FDP, & Greens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,669 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 544d | movo | SPD, FDP, & Greens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,580 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 544d | movo | SPD, FDP, & Greens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,582 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 545d | CDU/CSU & SPD | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,408 | −$92 −2.7% | — | |
| 549d | CDU/CSU & SPD | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,637 | −$355 −2.6% | — | |
| 551d | Hubuki | CDU/CSU, SPD, & Greens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,535 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 551d | Hubuki | CDU/CSU, SPD, & Greens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,540 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 552d | Toff1985 | CDU/CSU & SPD | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,853 | −$78 −2.0% | — |
| 552d | CDU/CSU & SPD | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $13,429 | +$2,549 +19% | 4 | |
| 557d | poligott2 fills | CDU/CSU & AfD | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $18,779 | −$396 −2.1% | — |
| 558d | CDU/CSU & SPD | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,956 | −$26 −1.3% | — | |
| 562d | countrypart | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 562d | countrypart5 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,010 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | greengrape8 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,016 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | cometoparty6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | findeth6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | rapidchill6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | lemontreea5 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,010 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | ageforty5 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,010 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | musclemansecond5 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,010 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | chillmy6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | catchyou6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | pricebill6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | slamduck6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | qwerbands6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | necessary6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | poliminustradefee2 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,004 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | heartpain7 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,014 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | cough6 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
The next German federal election is scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next German federal election. If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for CDU/CSU & SPD means the market gives it about 100%.