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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 29% | −6 pts | +11 pts | 17¢ · 41¢ (24¢) | — | in 69d |
| United Kingdom | 16% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 2¢ · 30¢ (28¢) | — | in 69d |
| South Korea | 18% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 12¢ · 23¢ (11¢) | — | in 69d |
| Brazil | 25% | −5 pts | −4 pts | 10¢ · 39¢ (29¢) | — | in 69d |
| North Korea | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Philippines | 14% | — | — | 13¢ · 15¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Thailand | 14% | −2 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 27¢ (26¢) | — | in 69d |
| China | 5% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 69d |
| Colombia | 30% | −6 pts | −7 pts | 6¢ · 53¢ (47¢) | — | in 69d |
| Iran | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Russia | 13% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 24¢ (22¢) | — | in 69d |
| Germany | 5% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | $20 | in 69d |
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LornaPredicts174 shares
GrokEnjoyer153 shares
Crazykekbr71 shares
DegenerateJanet70 sharesIf Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, visits a listed country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Clavicular physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Clavicular enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For the purposes of this market, "China" includes all territory administered by the People's Republic of China, including Special Administrative Regions, excluding Taiwan. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 29¢ for Japan means the market gives it about 29%.