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Polymarket · Culture
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 84% | — | — | 83¢ · 84¢ (1¢) | $146 | in 250d |
| Dune: Messiah | 15% | +1 pts | +5 pts | 15¢ · 15¢ (<1¢) | — | in 250d |
| Wild Horse Nine | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 250d |
| Project Hail Mary | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.81K | in 250d |
| Disclosure Day | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 250d |
| Wuthering Heights | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 250d |
| The Bride! | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 250d |
| The Social Reckoning | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 250d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | jimmer-fredette3 fills | Dune: Messiah | SellNo91¢ → 85¢ | $6,516 | +$423 +6.5% | — |
| 13d | jimmer-fredette2 fills | Dune: Messiah | BuyNo83¢ → 85¢ | $6,269 | +$169 +2.7% | 20 |
| 24d | KiernanMeister4 fills | Dune: Messiah | SellNo90¢ → 85¢ | $15,100 | +$852 +5.6% | — |
| 42d |  GerryHannon | The Odyssey | SellYes85¢ → 84¢ | $4,014 | +$71 +1.8% | — |
| 43d | skibabiba | The Odyssey | BuyYes85¢ → 84¢ | $1,230 | −$22 −1.8% | 30 |
| 47d | wolfmoon | The Odyssey | SellYes85¢ → 84¢ | $1,450 | +$26 +1.8% | — |
| 83d | KiernanMeister | Project Hail Mary | BuyNo95¢ → >99¢ | $1,859 | +$89 +4.8% | 23 |
| 83d | KiernanMeister2 fills | Dune: Messiah | BuyNo87¢ → 85¢ | $19,666 | −$480 −2.4% | 20 |
| 96d | GerryHannon2 fills | The Odyssey | BuyYes75¢ → 84¢ | $3,969 | +$452 +11% | 37 |
| 100d |  AiBets | Disclosure Day | BuyNo96¢ → >99¢ | $1,998 | +$76 +3.8% | 20 |
ImJustKen9,789 shares
bosshog1,000 shares
Chungvicular5,555 shares
bernardbulletin437 sharesThe Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 84¢ for The Odyssey means the market gives it about 84%.