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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Neuer | 52% | — | −11 pts | 39¢ · 64¢ (25¢) | — | in 249d |
| Lionel Messi | 10% | −1 pts | +8 pts | 9¢ · 11¢ (2¢) | — | in 249d |
| Luis Suarez | 31% | — | −5 pts | 2¢ · 59¢ (57¢) | — | in 249d |
| Olivier Giroud | 72% | — | +1 pts | 54¢ · 90¢ (36¢) | — | in 249d |
| Marco Reus | 17% | 0 pts | −29 pts | 1¢ · 34¢ (33¢) | — | in 249d |
| Robert Lewandowski | 49% | — | +25 pts | 2¢ · 95¢ (93¢) | — | in 249d |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 29% | — | +1 pts | 5¢ · 53¢ (48¢) | — | in 249d |
| Luka Modric | 51% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 249d |
| Thomas Muller | 50% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | — | in 249d |
| Ivan Perisic | 18% | — | −32 pts | 2¢ · 34¢ (32¢) | — | in 249d |
| Wojciech Szczesny | 50% | — | — | 2¢ · 98¢ (96¢) | — | in 249d |
| James Rodriguez | 50% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 2¢ · 97¢ (95¢) | — | in 249d |
| Angel Di Maria | 50% | — | +1 pts | 2¢ · 98¢ (96¢) | — | in 249d |
| Karim Benzema | 49% | — | +13 pts | 2¢ · 95¢ (93¢) | — | in 249d |
| Edin Dzeko | 50% | — | — | 2¢ · 98¢ (96¢) | — | in 249d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement. A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 52¢ for Manuel Neuer means the market gives it about 52%.