| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 256 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $208 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 214 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $201 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 264 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $188 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 239 | 71¢ → 64¢ | $152 | −$18 −11% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 192 | 83¢ → 78¢ | $149 | −$11 −6.6% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 165 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $136 | −$2 −1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 117 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $107 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | No | 140 | 81¢ → 75¢ | $105 | −$8 −7.4% |
| Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Ends in 22h | No | 124 | 88¢ → 82¢ | $102 | −$7 −6.8% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Ends in 41d | No | 109 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $95 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | No | 88 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $84 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will DR Congo win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group E?Ends in 158d | Yes | 98 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $83 | −$5 −5.6% |
| Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 260 | 53¢ → 30¢ | $78 | −$60 −43% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 260 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $74 | −$4 −5.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?Ends in 22h | Yes | 170 | 50¢ → 43¢ | $72 | −$13 −15% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 107 | 71¢ → 66¢ | $70 | −$6 −7.7% |
| Will Javonte Williams have 1,149.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 99 | 77¢ → 68¢ | $67 | −$9 −12% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?Ends in 250d | Yes | 79 | 89¢ → 84¢ | $66 | −$4 −6.2% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 94 | 74¢ → 68¢ | $64 | −$5 −7.7% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?Ends in 11d | No | 82 | 83¢ → 78¢ | $63 | −$5 −6.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 86 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $63 | −$2 −3.3% |
| Will Trevor Lawrence have 4,024.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 136 | 66¢ → 46¢ | $63 | −$27 −30% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 103 | 76¢ → 59¢ | $60 | −$18 −23% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | No | 73 | 90¢ → 82¢ | $60 | −$6 −9.4% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 384 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $59 | −$17 −23% |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 125 | 51¢ → 47¢ | $59 | −$5 −7.8% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 114 | 59¢ → 52¢ | $59 | −$9 −13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 71 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $58 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 159d | No | 61 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $57 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?Ends in 11d | No | 73 | 87¢ → 77¢ | $56 | −$7 −11% |
| Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Ends in 22h | No | 141 | 58¢ → 40¢ | $56 | −$26 −32% |
| Will the Houston Texans win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?Ends in 73d | U 9.5 | 91 | 70¢ → 61¢ | $55 | −$9 −14% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 260 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $55 | −$10 −16% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 232 | 31¢ → 24¢ | $55 | −$17 −24% |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Ends in 250d | Yes | 195 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $52 | −$5 −8.6% |
| Will Racing Santander be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?Ends in 250d | No | 89 | 65¢ → 57¢ | $51 | −$7 −12% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | No | 70 | 77¢ → 70¢ | $49 | −$5 −9.7% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 261 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $48 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 247 | 32¢ → 20¢ | $48 | −$31 −39% |
| Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 33d | No | 66 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $47 | −$2 −3.4% |
| Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 55 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $46 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will Brock Purdy have 4,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 60 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $44 | −$2 −4.5% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?Ends in 174d | Yes | 72 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $44 | −$3 −6.2% |
| Will Silkeborg be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?Ends in 250d | No | 77 | 64¢ → 56¢ | $43 | −$6 −12% |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 115 | 52¢ → 38¢ | $43 | −$17 −28% |
| Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 319 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $43 | −$37 −46% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 260 | 30¢ → 17¢ | $43 | −$35 −45% |
| Will TCU have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | No | 108 | 70¢ → 40¢ | $43 | −$33 −44% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 62 | 72¢ → 68¢ | $42 | −$2 −5.6% |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 434d | Yes | 51 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $42 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 59 | 65¢ → 70¢ | $41 | +$3 +7.7% |
| Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 60 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $41 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 49 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $40 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?Ends in 4d | Yes | 62 | 79¢ → 63¢ | $39 | −$10 −20% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?Ends in 174d | No | 100 | 45¢ → 39¢ | $39 | −$6 −13% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 249 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $39 | −$4 −8.8% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,000,000 and 10,400,000?Ends in 11d | No | 53 | 86¢ → 72¢ | $38 | −$7 −16% |
| Will a Sophomore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Ends ended | No | 43 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $38 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 50 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $38 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Kevin Fiala record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 188d | No | 40 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $37 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will Alabama have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 49d | Yes | 118 | 67¢ → 31¢ | $37 | −$43 −54% |
| Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Ends ended | Yes | 85 | 43¢ → 43¢ | $36 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 62 | 68¢ → 57¢ | $35 | −$7 −16% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 24?Ends ended | No | 45 | 83¢ → 78¢ | $35 | −$2 −6.6% |
| Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 317 | 45¢ → 11¢ | $35 | −$108 −76% |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?Ends in 10d | Yes | 119 | 31¢ → 29¢ | $34 | −$2 −6.5% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $34 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 60 | 57¢ → 56¢ | $34 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 56 | 65¢ → 60¢ | $33 | −$3 −7.7% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?Ends in 11d | No | 44 | 89¢ → 72¢ | $32 | −$8 −19% |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 56 | 62¢ → 56¢ | $31 | −$4 −10% |
| Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 40 | 83¢ → 78¢ | $31 | −$2 −6.6% |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 37 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | No | 35 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $30 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 201 | 17¢ → 15¢ | $29 | −$6 −17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 262 | 17¢ → 11¢ | $29 | −$16 −35% |
| Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 312d | No | 105 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $29 | −$5 −14% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 56 | 50¢ → 51¢ | $28 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 194 | 22¢ → 14¢ | $28 | −$15 −34% |
| Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 238d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 70¢ | $28 | −$6 −18% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | No | 36 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $28 | −$3 −9.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d | No | 34 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $27 | −$2 −6.4% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 107 | 29¢ → 25¢ | $26 | −$5 −16% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 65¢ | $26 | −$8 −24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 25?Ends in 22h | Yes | 76 | 43¢ → 34¢ | $26 | −$7 −21% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 25?Ends in 22h | No | 35 | 79¢ → 72¢ | $25 | −$2 −8.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | No | 30 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $25 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 69 | 38¢ → 36¢ | $25 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Will Buffalo Sabres advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Ends in 193d | No | 37 | 75¢ → 66¢ | $25 | −$3 −12% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 106 | 34¢ → 22¢ | $23 | −$13 −37% |
| Will "Too Much to Ask" from Ray Gunn be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 181 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $23 | −$19 −46% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 31 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $22 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 63¢ → 55¢ | $22 | −$3 −13% |
| McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?Ends in 11d | No | 58 | 42¢ → 37¢ | $21 | −$3 −13% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $484,000 and $497,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 22 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$1 +7.8% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Ends in 115d | No | 37 | 60¢ → 55¢ | $20 | −$2 −9.2% |
| Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 161 | 24¢ → 12¢ | $19 | −$19 −50% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 128d | Yes | 212 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $19 | −$17 −47% |
| Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 66 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $19 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 33 | 63¢ → 57¢ | $19 | −$2 −10% |
