| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 1,587 | 56¢ → 46¢ | $722 | −$167 −19% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 1,065 | 59¢ → 64¢ | $686 | +$57 +9.1% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Ends in 100d | No | 1,000 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $562 | −$24 −4.1% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Ends in 19h | No | 638 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $522 | −$35 −6.4% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,000 | 75¢ → 51¢ | $505 | −$245 −33% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?Ends in 33d | No | 1,000 | 48¢ → 50¢ | $500 | +$20 +4.2% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,000 | 57¢ → 50¢ | $500 | −$70 −12% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Ends in 434d | No | 1,000 | 30¢ → 41¢ | $407 | +$110 +37% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 637 | 57¢ → 56¢ | $353 | −$10 −2.7% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 2,500 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $350 | −$225 −39% |
| Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 2,500 | 30¢ → 14¢ | $338 | −$413 −55% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 500 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $298 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 492 | 17¢ → 60¢ | $293 | +$209 +250% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 19h | No | 724 | 53¢ → 38¢ | $275 | −$109 −28% |
| Will We're Fine win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 300 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $269 | +$14 +5.6% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 300 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $251 | +$5 +1.8% |
| Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | No | 250 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $215 | +$12 +5.6% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | Yes | 500 | 46¢ → 39¢ | $195 | −$35 −15% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | Yes | 1,000 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $190 | −$80 −30% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,723 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $166 | −$44 −21% |
| Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 359 | 42¢ → 45¢ | $160 | +$9 +6.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 204 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $156 | +$5 +3.0% |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 1,148 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $143 | −$29 −17% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 177 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $127 | +$3 +2.8% |
| Will Mark Stone record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 188d | No | 253 | 92¢ → 49¢ | $123 | −$110 −47% |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 300 | 64¢ → 41¢ | $123 | −$69 −36% |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 395 | 44¢ → 31¢ | $123 | −$51 −30% |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 161 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $119 | $0 0.0% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 501 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $108 | −$13 −11% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 515 | 46¢ → 20¢ | $103 | −$135 −57% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens record 100+ points?Ends in 188d | No | 180 | 48¢ → 57¢ | $103 | +$16 +19% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 120 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $102 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 131 | 53¢ → 70¢ | $91 | +$22 +31% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,055 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $90 | −$59 −40% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 207 | 70¢ → 43¢ | $88 | −$57 −39% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?Ends in 250d | No | 500 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $85 | −$10 −11% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $83 | −$3 −2.9% |
| Will "Forgotten Island" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 213 | 51¢ → 37¢ | $79 | −$30 −27% |
| Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 106 | 76¢ → 72¢ | $77 | −$4 −5.3% |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 187 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $70 | +$3 +4.2% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 156 | 44¢ → 44¢ | $69 | $0 0.0% |
| Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 300 | 39¢ → 23¢ | $68 | −$50 −42% |
| Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?Ends in 10d | No | 105 | 69¢ → 60¢ | $63 | −$9 −13% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 288 | 15¢ → 22¢ | $62 | +$19 +43% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 60 | 56¢ → 96¢ | $58 | +$24 +70% |
| Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 494 | 30¢ → 12¢ | $57 | −$91 −62% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Ends in 434d | No | 100 | 63¢ → 56¢ | $56 | −$7 −11% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 172 | 44¢ → 32¢ | $55 | −$21 −27% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $55 | +$11 +25% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 208 | 35¢ → 26¢ | $55 | −$17 −24% |
| Will George Pickens have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | Yes | 75 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $54 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | No | 500 | 35¢ → 11¢ | $53 | −$123 −70% |
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 80 | 52¢ → 64¢ | $51 | +$9 +22% |
| Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 41d | No | 66 | 66¢ → 74¢ | $49 | +$5 +12% |
| Will Jake Guentzel record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 188d | No | 70 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 213 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $48 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 56¢ → 80¢ | $48 | +$14 +42% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 19h | Yes | 379 | 29¢ → 13¢ | $47 | −$62 −57% |
| Will Omarion Hampton have 1,149.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 56 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $46 | +$4 +11% |
| Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 73d | American Express | 133 | 58¢ → 35¢ | $46 | −$31 −41% |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 94d | No | 76 | 78¢ → 58¢ | $44 | −$15 −26% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 45 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $43 | +$14 +48% |
| Will Minnesota Vikings advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 87d | No | 80 | 77¢ → 54¢ | $43 | −$19 −31% |
| Will the Columbus Blue Jackets record 100+ points?Ends in 188d | No | 53 | 74¢ → 79¢ | $41 | +$2 +5.8% |
| Will Tina Pisnik reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 198d | No | 86 | 51¢ → 48¢ | $41 | −$3 −6.7% |
| Will primmie play for FULL SENSE in 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 47 | 62¢ → 86¢ | $40 | +$11 +38% |
| Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 100 | 87¢ → 40¢ | $40 | −$47 −54% |
| Will Jayden Daniels have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 45 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $40 | +$5 +13% |
| Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 57 | 65¢ → 70¢ | $40 | +$3 +7.6% |
| Will Bo Nix have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 40 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$8 +24% |
| Will the Washington Capitals record 100+ points?Ends in 188d | No | 80 | 75¢ → 49¢ | $39 | −$21 −36% |
| Will Kyle Connor record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 188d | No | 80 | 75¢ → 48¢ | $38 | −$22 −36% |
| Will D'Andre Swift have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 60 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $38 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will Virginie Efira be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 66 | 48¢ → 56¢ | $37 | +$6 +18% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 64 | 59¢ → 58¢ | $37 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?Ends in 250d | No | 100 | 64¢ → 37¢ | $37 | −$28 −43% |
| Will David Montgomery have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 40 | 72¢ → 91¢ | $36 | +$8 +26% |
| Will "Oh Whale" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 85 | 21¢ → 43¢ | $36 | +$19 +105% |
| Will William Nylander record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 188d | No | 60 | 70¢ → 60¢ | $36 | −$6 −14% |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 80 | 58¢ → 44¢ | $35 | −$12 −25% |
| Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 120 | 51¢ → 28¢ | $34 | −$28 −45% |
| Will Quinshon Judkins have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 40 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $34 | +$5 +16% |
| SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 45 | 59¢ → 75¢ | $34 | +$7 +28% |
| Will George Kittle have 924.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 40 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $34 | +$5 +18% |
| Will Derrick Henry have 16.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 66 | 52¢ → 50¢ | $33 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 60 | 58¢ → 55¢ | $33 | −$2 −5.6% |
| Will Harold Fannin Jr. have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 43 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $33 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 48 | 37¢ → 69¢ | $33 | +$15 +88% |
| Will Dak Prescott finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 95d | No | 45 | 37¢ → 70¢ | $32 | +$15 +86% |
| Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 300 | 44¢ → 11¢ | $32 | −$101 −76% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 42 | 64¢ → 75¢ | $31 | +$5 +18% |
| Will Jameson Williams have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 70 | 64¢ → 45¢ | $31 | −$14 −31% |
| Will Wisconsin have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | No | 71 | 48¢ → 44¢ | $31 | −$4 −10% |
| Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 87d | No | 56 | 63¢ → 54¢ | $30 | −$5 −15% |
| Will Ashton Jeanty have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 36 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $30 | +$4 +17% |
| Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 188d | No | 200 | 32¢ → 15¢ | $30 | −$34 −53% |
| Will Elias Pettersson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 188d | No | 44 | 75¢ → 68¢ | $30 | −$3 −9.3% |
| Scorigami in Week 9 of the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $30 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will Flamengo be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$6 +27% |
| Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 193d | No | 40 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $30 | −$0 −1.3% |
