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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Fetterman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mitch McConnell | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bill Cassidy | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lisa Murkowski | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Susan Collins | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| John Curtis | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616d |  scottilicious2 fills | Bernie Sanders | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $49,144 | −$524 −1.1% | — |
| 617d | jole24 | Lisa Murkowski | SellYes>99¢ | $1,993 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 617d |  donkeykongnig | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,755 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 617d | Hhhhhw | Mitch McConnell | SellNo>99¢ | $3,160 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 617d | BobbyB | John Curtis | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,429 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 617d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | John Curtis | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 617d |  MotherTheresa | Susan Collins | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,578 | +$6 +0.4% | 10 |
| 617d | MotherTheresa | Bill Cassidy | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,048 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 617d | Monster242 fills | Lisa Murkowski | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,768 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 617d | Monster24 | Bill Cassidy | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,768 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 617d | Monster24 | Susan Collins | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,768 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 617d | Monster24 | John Curtis | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,769 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 617d | Monster24 | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,779 | +$244 +6.5% | 10 |
| 617d | simpleman | Mitch McConnell | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$171 −16% | — |
| 617d | Hhhhhw | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 10 |
| 617d |  aenews24 fills | John Fetterman | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $39,668 | +$2,148 +5.4% | 10 |
| 617d | aenews28 fills | Bernie Sanders | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $35,456 | +$7,702 +22% | 10 |
| 618d | MotherTheresa | Bernie Sanders | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 618d |  Dropper | John Curtis | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | +$8 +0.6% | 10 |
| 618d |  BFBB | John Fetterman | SellNo>99¢ | $2,339 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 618d |  khatai | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,143 | +$265 +12% | 10 |
| 618d | MotherTheresa2 fills | John Fetterman | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,656 | +$14 +0.3% | 10 |
| 618d |  KimJonEn2 fills | John Curtis | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,335 | +$52 +2.2% | 10 |
| 618d | KimJonEn | Bill Cassidy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$7 +0.6% | 10 |
| 618d | donkeykongnig | Bernie Sanders | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,585 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 621d | eNakeVets | John Fetterman | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | −$20 −0.9% | — |
| 621d |  Wickier | Bernie Sanders | SellNo100¢ | $12,047 | −$61 −0.5% | — |
| 622d | lug | John Fetterman | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 622d |  zalkida | John Fetterman | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,910 | +$37 +0.5% | 10 |
| 623d | MickeyMouse | John Fetterman | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 624d |  studmuffin6969 | Bill Cassidy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,779 | +$16 +0.9% | 10 |
| 624d | studmuffin69692 fills | Bernie Sanders | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,236 | +$33 +0.5% | 10 |
| 624d | Nowhere-Man4 fills | John Fetterman | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $11,350 | +$3,179 +28% | 10 |
| 624d | Nowhere-Man | John Fetterman | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 624d |  🍝👹2 fills | John Fetterman | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,561 | +$50 +1.4% | 10 |
| 624d |  Axios | John Fetterman | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,801 | +$87 +2.3% | 10 |
| 624d |  sleepy-panda | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$520 +35% | 10 |
| 624d | DavidCopperfield | John Fetterman | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,571 | +$929 +20% | 10 |
| 624d | mep | John Fetterman | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,622 | +$560 +21% | 10 |
| 624d |  LadyLuck | John Fetterman | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$245 +24% | 10 |
| 624d | AzariahJuby | John Fetterman | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $7,000 | −$7,000 −100% | 20 |
| 624d |  dududududu2 fills | John Fetterman | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | −$857 −29% | — |
| 624d | poptree2 fills | John Fetterman | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,083 | +$852 +21% | 10 |
| 624d | semi | John Fetterman | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$308 +26% | 10 |
| 625d | studmuffin6969 | John Fetterman | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | −$412 −32% | — |
| 625d | Isaak👴 | Bill Cassidy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,640 | +$44 +1.2% | 10 |
| 626d |  Kickstand7 | John Fetterman | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $6,048 | −$1,473 −24% | — |
| 626d | micheldenostredame | Bill Cassidy | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,304 | −$98 −3.0% | — |
| 626d | Kickstand7 | John Fetterman | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $21,666 | +$5,182 +24% | 10 |
| 626d |  Euan | Bill Cassidy | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$28 +2.7% | 10 |
| 626d | Trump2028 | Bernie Sanders | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,493 | +$45 +1.0% | 10 |
| 626d | affs20791 | John Fetterman | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | +$124 +7.4% | 10 |
| 626d |  intelmarketmaker | Bill Cassidy | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,162 | +$98 +3.1% | 10 |
| 626d |  syncope | Bill Cassidy | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | +$126 +6.4% | 10 |
| 626d |  slurpslurpslurp | John Fetterman | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,660 | +$373 +14% | 10 |
| 626d | BFBB | John Fetterman | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$259 +17% | 10 |
| 627d | simpleman | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$259 +13% | 10 |
| 627d | intoet | Mitch McConnell | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | −$365 −17% | — |
| 627d | 🍝👹 | John Fetterman | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | −$201 −17% | — |
| 627d |  RiseAndSunny | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$219 +18% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting which Senators will vote to confirm Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Bernie Sanders means the market gives it about 0%.