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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Branson | 100% | +59 pts | +87 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bill Clinton | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kevin Spacey | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bill Gates | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Bannon | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Woody Allen | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steven Tisch | 0% | −1 pts | +1 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Peter Attia | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Noam Chomsky | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Deepak Chopra | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bill Cosby | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Jackson | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jay-Z | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harvey Weinstein | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marco Rubio | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115d | Teeming-Technician | Bill Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,389 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 116d | QMG-CORE | Peter Attia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,464 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 117d | QMG-MACRO | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,429 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 118d | 33kek | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,158 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 119d | 729energynano | Bill Gates | SellNo>99¢ | $1,349 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 119d | 729energynano | Bill Gates | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,339 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 119d | 2012shadow | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,114 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 119d | primewolf42 | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,245 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 119d | 2012shadow | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,087 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 119d | primewolf42 | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,224 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 120d | 258orbit | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,044 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 120d | 0x8931…a90c | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 120d | 0x8931…a90c | Marco Rubio | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 120d | 0x8931…a90c | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,241 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 120d | 0x8931…a90c2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,775 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 130d |  SPMontreal | Noam Chomsky | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,837 | +$33 +1.2% | 20 |
| 133d |  studmuffin6969 | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 140d |  elmcap2 | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$15 +1.5% | 20 |
| 170d |  DFK2 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,893 | +$138 +4.8% | 20 |
| 177d | SPMontreal | Bill Gates | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,333 | +$97 +4.2% | 20 |
| 191d |  RememberAmalek | Kevin Spacey | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$131 +10% | 20 |
| 195d | DFK | Hillary Clinton | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | −$25 −2.2% | — |
| 202d | Ordon3 fills | Richard Branson | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,884 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 202d |  OraculumNobius | Richard Branson | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,253 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 202d |  AgricultureSecretary | Richard Branson | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$37 +3.2% | 20 |
| 202d | TwoTierKeir | Richard Branson | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,925 | +$145 +7.5% | 20 |
| 202d |  aenews22 fills | Richard Branson | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $6,103 | +$1,293 +21% | 20 |
| 205d | Ryan1365 | Elon Musk | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,746 | +$54 +3.1% | 20 |
| 205d | SPMontreal2 fills | Bill Clinton | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,675 | +$1,215 +33% | 20 |
| 207d | fnond | Richard Branson | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,638 | +$1,638 +100% | — |
| 207d | lhanahy | Richard Branson | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $3,132 | +$3,132 +100% | — |
| 207d | wrnmsapoe | Richard Branson | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $4,226 | +$4,774 +113% | 21 |
| 207d | fnond | Richard Branson | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $3,426 | −$3,426 −100% | 20 |
| 207d | lhanahy | Richard Branson | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $4,078 | −$4,078 −100% | 20 |
| 207d | marcbryan8237 | Jay-Z | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$44 −4.4% | — |
| 207d | ansel586arrie | Jay-Z | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | −$52 −4.6% | — |
| 207d | Egon64 | Jay-Z | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$48 +4.7% | 20 |
| 207d | gabriela192brenna | Jay-Z | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$49 +4.7% | 20 |
| 207d | marcbryan8237 | Jay-Z | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$50 +5.0% | 20 |
| 207d | ansel586arrie | Jay-Z | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$58 +5.2% | 20 |
| 207d | sheryl709ashlynn | Jay-Z | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$62 +5.8% | 20 |
| 207d | DFK | Jay-Z | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$82 +6.3% | 20 |
| 207d |  paddaa | Kevin Spacey | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$326 +22% | 20 |
| 208d | snap-amateur | Michael Jackson | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$80 −8.0% | — |
| 208d | snap-amateur | Michael Jackson | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$76 +7.5% | 20 |
| 208d | sing-hen | Michael Jackson | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$108 −8.9% | — |
| 208d | Grab-Dumb-Rotate | Michael Jackson | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | −$108 −8.9% | — |
| 208d | sound-assist | Michael Jackson | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | −$91 −8.9% | — |
| 208d | box95562 fills | Michael Jackson | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,158 | −$140 −6.5% | — |
| 208d | box9556 | Michael Jackson | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$98 +8.7% | 20 |
| 208d | warm76 | Michael Jackson | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$93 −8.0% | — |
| 208d | morepn97 | Michael Jackson | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | −$86 −8.5% | — |
| 208d | disorder-only-crumble | Michael Jackson | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$87 −8.5% | — |
| 208d | morepn97 | Michael Jackson | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$86 +8.5% | 20 |
| 208d | settle.clump.liberty | Michael Jackson | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | −$94 −7.5% | — |
| 208d | settle.clump.liberty | Michael Jackson | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$100 +8.0% | 20 |
| 208d | Soldier-Fan | Michael Jackson | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | −$94 −6.6% | — |
| 208d | welcomevm54 | Michael Jackson | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | −$70 −6.6% | — |
| 208d | welcomevm54 | Michael Jackson | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$77 +7.6% | 20 |
| 208d | Soldier-Fan | Michael Jackson | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$93 +7.6% | 20 |
benrafa123 sharesDFK3,141 shares
bamesjond1,149 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Richard Branson means the market gives it about 100%.