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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Ellison/Oracle | 100% | +1 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| AppLovin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Microsoft | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Amazon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Meta | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Walmart | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Elon Musk / X (Twitter) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114d | QMG-CORE3 fills | Elon Musk / X (Twitter) | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,987 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 114d | countbinface33 | AppLovin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,061 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 114d | sllllllllllllllllllll | AppLovin | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,165 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 114d |  yen4u | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,892 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 115d | Test669 | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,695 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 115d | yen4u | Amazon | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,492 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 115d | yen4u | Meta | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,204 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 115d | yen4u | Walmart | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,914 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 116d |  Dr.mett3 fills | Elon Musk / X (Twitter) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,071 | +$30 +0.7% | 20 |
| 116d | QMG-VOL2 fills | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,318 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 116d | QMG-VOL | Meta | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,775 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 116d | QMG-VOL | AppLovin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,208 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 122d | QMG-CORE4 fills | Meta | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,787 | +$89 +1.9% | 20 |
| 143d | Dr.mett | Meta | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$8 +0.8% | 20 |
| 154d | Dr.mett | Walmart | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 154d | Dr.mett | Microsoft | SellNo>99¢ | $2,283 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 160d | QMG-CORE | Walmart | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,923 | +$45 +2.4% | 20 |
| 257d |  ScottyNooo | Meta | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | −$60 −5.4% | — |
| 285d |  SnugPie | Microsoft | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$32 +2.6% | 20 |
| 305d |  m0rt | Meta | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | +$44 +2.1% | 20 |
| 305d |  Cloverince2 fills | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 305d |  Despicable-Fruit | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 305d | rwo | AppLovin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$13 +1.1% | 20 |
| 305d | rwo | Meta | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | +$44 +2.4% | 20 |
| 305d | yougotme8 fills | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $26,350 | +$238 +0.9% | 20 |
| 305d |  bamesjond | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$31 +2.6% | 20 |
| 306d | ChampaLiberation | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$26 +1.7% | 20 |
| 307d |  ggmggn | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | +$76 +1.5% | 20 |
| 307d | imakebigbets | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,333 | +$53 +1.6% | 20 |
| 307d | imakebigbets2 fills | Elon Musk / X (Twitter) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | +$49 +1.9% | 20 |
| 307d |  awaylot | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$44 +2.0% | 20 |
| 307d | tugce | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$75 −6.5% | — |
| 308d | ScottyNooo7 fills | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $19,284 | +$2,745 +14% | 20 |
| 309d | Dapper-Grandfather | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,289 | +$146 +6.4% | 20 |
| 309d | ScottyNooo2 fills | Meta | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,424 | +$148 +6.1% | 20 |
| 309d | ScottyNooo | Microsoft | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | +$69 +5.4% | 20 |
| 309d | StealthSquirrel | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,586 | −$385 −11% | — |
| 309d |  Car6 fills | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $9,824 | +$1,108 +11% | 20 |
| 319d | yfcyfc | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | −$1,152 −65% | — |
| 324d | longnhi9xx | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,409 | −$548 −39% | — |
| 333d | yfcyfc | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$625 +27% | 20 |
| 344d | 0xE7ea64e9acF4427678febB7cc9BAEdf7995cDd4 | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | −$474 −39% | — |
| 356d |  Starsee | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,107 | −$1,149 −37% | — |
| 357d | futureisyours | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$452 +30% | 20 |
| 362d | Starsee2 fills | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $5,666 | +$1,805 +32% | 20 |
| 377d | JigglyPuff | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | −$1,563 −109% | — |
| 378d |  cynical-reason | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,635 | −$1,635 −100% | 21 |
| 382d | Jofe | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$561 −44% | — |
| 385d |  dcaSPX6900 | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,834 | −$622 −34% | — |
| 394d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,513 | +$523 +12% | 20 |
| 397d | aff3 | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,148 | +$1,148 +100% | — |
| 397d | dcaSPX6900 | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$456 +23% | 20 |
| 398d | decartel | Larry Ellison/Oracle | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,269 | −$1,369 −42% | — |
| 398d | aff3 | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $2,458 | −$2,458 −100% | 25 |
| 399d | Attractive-Trowel | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$225 +22% | 20 |
| 399d |  Gemini4562 fills | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,913 | +$415 +14% | 20 |
| 399d | ScottyNooo | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,409 | −$1,409 −100% | 22 |
| 400d |  ABOBO | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,834 | +$376 +20% | 20 |
| 401d | JigglyPuff | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$209 +19% | 20 |
| 401d | decartel | Larry Ellison/Oracle | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$638 +16% | 20 |
funding5,000 sharescynical-reason4,582 shares
bigmazzy4,131 shares
boogz1,225 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Larry Ellison/Oracle means the market gives it about 100%.