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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 77% | — | — | 76¢ · 77¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Ted Cruz | 83% | — | — | 82¢ · 83¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Hunter Biden | 36% | +3 pts | +10 pts | 26¢ · 46¢ (20¢) | — | in 433d |
| Kim Kardashian | 12% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 11¢ · 13¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Tim Walz | 8% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 8¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | — | in 67d |
| J.D. Vance | 77% | 0 pts | −5 pts | 75¢ · 79¢ (4¢) | — | in 433d |
| Hillary Clinton | 4% | — | — | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Tucker Carlson | 17% | — | — | 16¢ · 18¢ (2¢) | — | in 67d |
| John Fetterman | 18% | −1 pts | +5 pts | 16¢ · 20¢ (4¢) | — | in 433d |
| Zohran Mamdani | 9% | — | −2 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 13% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 67d |
| Pete Buttigieg | 80% | — | +5 pts | 79¢ · 80¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Elon Musk | 13% | — | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Steve Bannon | 28% | −2 pts | −4 pts | 26¢ · 30¢ (4¢) | — | in 67d |
| Bernie Sanders | 12% | — | — | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Cory Booker | 60% | — | — | 59¢ · 60¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| MrBeast | 9% | — | — | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Jon Stewart | 17% | — | −1 pts | 16¢ · 18¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Liz Cheney | 14% | — | — | 13¢ · 15¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Rahm Emanuel | 61% | −1 pts | — | 58¢ · 63¢ (5¢) | — | in 433d |
| George Clooney | 13% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Michelle Obama | 15% | — | — | 14¢ · 16¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Andy Beshear | 88% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 87¢ · 89¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Tom Brady | 10% | — | −7 pts | 9¢ · 11¢ (2¢) | — | in 67d |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 16% | — | — | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | — | in 67d |
| Stephen A. Smith | 19% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 18¢ · 20¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 16% | — | — | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 32% | — | — | 30¢ · 33¢ (3¢) | — | in 433d |
| Josh Shapiro | 68% | — | +4 pts | 66¢ · 69¢ (3¢) | — | in 67d |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 19% | — | −1 pts | 18¢ · 20¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Raphael Warnock | 50% | — | +2 pts | 46¢ · 53¢ (7¢) | — | in 433d |
| Mike Pence | 16% | — | +1 pts | 15¢ · 17¢ (2¢) | — | in 67d |
| Glenn Youngkin | 34% | — | — | 33¢ · 34¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Barack Obama | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Ron DeSantis | 66% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 64¢ · 67¢ (3¢) | — | in 433d |
| Mark Kelly | 57% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 55¢ · 59¢ (4¢) | — | in 433d |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 26% | — | +1 pts | 25¢ · 27¢ (2¢) | — | in 67d |
| Rand Paul | 41% | −1 pts | −9 pts | 32¢ · 49¢ (17¢) | — | in 67d |
| Candace Owens | 16% | — | −4 pts | 14¢ · 17¢ (3¢) | — | in 67d |
| Brian Kemp | 46% | +5 pts | +16 pts | 34¢ · 58¢ (24¢) | — | in 433d |
| Ivanka Trump | 7% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 7¢ · 7¢ (<1¢) | — | in 67d |
| Nikki Haley | 25% | — | — | 24¢ · 25¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Matt Gaetz | 17% | −2 pts | +4 pts | 14¢ · 19¢ (5¢) | — | in 67d |
| Mark Cuban | 19% | — | — | 18¢ · 19¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| LeBron James | 11% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 24% | — | — | 23¢ · 24¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Wes Moore | 52% | — | — | 37¢ · 66¢ (29¢) | — | in 433d |
| John Thune | 15% | — | — | 13¢ · 17¢ (4¢) | — | in 67d |
| Jon Ossoff | 54% | +6 pts | +4 pts | 53¢ · 54¢ (1¢) | $143 | in 433d |
| Chelsea Clinton | 11% | — | −1 pts | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Donald Trump | 12% | — | — | 11¢ · 13¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Byron Donalds | 24% | — | −1 pts | 22¢ · 25¢ (3¢) | — | in 433d |
| Erika Kirk | 6% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | $84.5 | in 433d |
| Jared Polis | 37% | — | +2 pts | 35¢ · 39¢ (4¢) | — | in 433d |
| Elise Stefanik | 25% | — | −1 pts | 24¢ · 26¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Kristi Noem | 16% | — | −1 pts | 14¢ · 18¢ (4¢) | — | in 67d |
| Kamala Harris | 57% | — | +3 pts | 53¢ · 61¢ (8¢) | $77.2 | in 433d |
| Andrew Yang | 53% | +4 pts | +1 pts | 50¢ · 56¢ (6¢) | $70 | in 67d |
| Marco Rubio | 44% | −2 pts | +2 pts | 42¢ · 46¢ (4¢) | $60 | in 67d |
| Gina Raimondo | 32% | −2 pts | +10 pts | 19¢ · 44¢ (25¢) | $52.5 | in 433d |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 64% | −4 pts | +3 pts | 62¢ · 65¢ (3¢) | $50 | in 67d |
| J.B. Pritzker | 53% | +7 pts | +1 pts | 50¢ · 56¢ (6¢) | $40 | in 433d |
| Roy Cooper | 21% | — | — | 20¢ · 22¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Don Lemon | 23% | — | — | 22¢ · 23¢ (1¢) | — | in 67d |
| Oprah Winfrey | 13% | — | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Phil Murphy | 37% | −4 pts | −4 pts | 25¢ · 49¢ (24¢) | $20 | in 67d |
| Beto O’Rourke | 12% | — | — | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | — | in 433d |
| Katie Britt | 38% | −1 pts | — | 18¢ · 58¢ (40¢) | — | in 67d |
| Josh Hawley | 32% | −3 pts | −3 pts | 29¢ · 34¢ (5¢) | $14.9 | in 67d |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 20% | — | −1 pts | 19¢ · 21¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
| Greg Abbott | 25% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 24¢ · 26¢ (2¢) | — | in 433d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
DFK540 shares
Robbb84 shares
DidoKazaNe30 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 77¢ for Gavin Newsom means the market gives it about 77%.