| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 301,229 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $1,657 | +$715 +76% |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 994 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $940 | +$23 +2.5% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,514 | 31¢ → 23¢ | $341 | −$133 −28% |
| Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 10d | Brown | 349 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $338 | +$41 +14% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 760 | 29¢ → 35¢ | $262 | +$42 +19% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 800 | 33¢ → 27¢ | $212 | −$52 −20% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 140 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $135 | −$2 −1.4% |
| Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 130 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $127 | +$30 +30% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 124 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $122 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 8¢ → 18¢ | $90 | +$50 +125% |
| Meituan announces a training pause by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 70 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $69 | +$3 +4.8% |
| Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 61 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $60 | +$2 +3.0% |
| Z.ai announces a training pause by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 434d | No | 171 | 28¢ → 24¢ | $40 | −$8 −17% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 95¢ → 87¢ | $35 | −$3 −8.2% |
| Will the Ohio Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Ends in 10d | Yes | 78 | 4¢ → 39¢ | $30 | +$27 +820% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 103 | 39¢ → 28¢ | $29 | −$11 −27% |
| Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 250d | Yes | 400 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $22 | +$2 +10% |
| Baidu announces a training pause by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$2 +11% |
| DeepSeek announces a training pause by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$2 +9.4% |
| Moonshot announces a training pause by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +8.0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5,321 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $19 | −$28 −60% |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 232 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $17 | −$2 −11% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | No | 92 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $16 | −$9 −35% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 119 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $15 | −$2 −9.9% |
| ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 15 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$1 +9.4% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $14 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 79 | 7¢ → 18¢ | $14 | +$8 +150% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 200 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $13 | −$2 −13% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 210 | 38¢ → 5¢ | $11 | −$70 −87% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 64¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$3 −20% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$1 −11% |
| Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | Yes | 357 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $8 | −$28 −78% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 39 | 7¢ → 15¢ | $6 | +$3 +130% |
| Will the Alaska Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Ends in 10d | Yes | 45 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $5 | +$2 +51% |
| Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $5 | +$2 +64% |
| Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d | Yes | 400 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | +$3 +267% |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 83 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$7 −62% |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 44¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$2 +95% |
| Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 299 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$3 −44% |
| Will LYON win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d | Yes | 608 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$1 −23% |
| Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d | Yes | 600 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$2 −44% |
| Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Michigan and Maine?Ends in 10d | Yes | 89 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$1 +131% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 11 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$1 −44% |
| Will the Iowa Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Ends in 10d | Yes | 80 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −73% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 38¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$2 −79% |
| Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 701 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,490 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$166 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,034 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$668 −100% |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 88 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,396 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 379 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed have less than 10 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 276 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 460 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Wanda James be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,042 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,561 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,069 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the median home value in New York City be between $580,000 and $585,000 on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 96 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,041 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,344 −100% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,011 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$141 −100% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,423 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,379 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$527 −100% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 923 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win 2 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 445 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Valerie Foushee be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 35 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,379 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 218 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,767 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 191 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,160 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,900 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$151 −100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,211 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
