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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mike Rogers | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Bailey | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ken Paxton | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610d | Andrew Bailey | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,532 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 610d | Kash Patel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,996 | +$114 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 610d | BobbyB | Kash Patel | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 610d | bobbyboba3 fills | Kash Patel | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,358 | +$18 +0.3% | 4 |
| 612d | Kash Patel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,106 | +$52 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 616d | Kash Patel | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$18 −1.4% | — | |
| 617d | Kash Patel | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,990 | −$66 −1.3% | — | |
| 624d | benjamin2048 | Kash Patel | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,484 | −$119 −4.8% | — |
| 626d | affs20791 | Kash Patel | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,653 | +$162 +3.5% | 4 |
| 630d | jj1970jj | Kash Patel | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,911 | +$61 +2.1% | 4 |
| 631d | Kash Patel | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | −$28 −2.8% | — | |
| 631d | jj1970jj | Ken Paxton | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$12 +1.2% | 4 |
| 631d | Tremirorot | Kash Patel | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | −$69 −4.6% | — |
| 632d | Kash Patel | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,651 | +$405 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 637d | eNakeVets2 fills | Kash Patel | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | −$454 −17% | — |
| 650d | PolePlant2 fills | Kash Patel | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,472 | −$710 −20% | — |
| 650d | Lalaf | Kash Patel | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,306 | −$532 −12% | — |
| 654d | phoenix26 | Kash Patel | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$115 −11% | — |
| 654d | phoenix26 | Kash Patel | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,957 | +$193 +9.9% | 4 |
| 660d | Kash Patel | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$111 +9.5% | 4 | |
| 662d | Kash Patel | SellNo18¢ → 0¢ | $1,824 | +$1,824 +100% | — | |
| 676d | ZhivkoJ45 | Kash Patel | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | −$290 −22% | — |
| 682d | Alfanhio | Kash Patel | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$50 +3.0% | 4 |
| 683d | eNakeVets | Kash Patel | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$283 +28% | 4 |
| 683d | Kash Patel | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $3,332 | +$1,343 +40% | 4 | |
| 686d | Mangy62 | Kash Patel | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,846 | +$791 +43% | 4 |
| 687d | benjamin2048 | Kash Patel | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$502 +45% | 4 |
| 689d | Kash Patel | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $2,787 | −$2,787 −100% | 7 | |
| 690d | Lalaf | Kash Patel | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,839 +61% | 4 |
This is a market on predicting the next Director of the FBI.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kash Patel means the market gives it about 100%.