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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Yang | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Cuban | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 14¢ | — | ended |
| Thomas Massie | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kanye West | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Rand Paul | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 391d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Kanye West | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,038 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 392d | LlamaEnjoyer | Andrew Yang | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,380 | +$16 +0.3% | 4 |
| 397d |  Frosen | Mark Cuban | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 414d | Frosen | Mark Cuban | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$24 +1.0% | 4 |
| 419d | Frosen2 fills | Andrew Yang | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,859 | +$78 +1.6% | 4 |
| 425d | Frosen | Kanye West | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,882 | +$39 +2.1% | 4 |
| 439d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Andrew Yang | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,798 | +$85 +4.7% | 4 |
| 441d |  JaidenAnimations | Andrew Yang | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | −$137 −6.3% | — |
| 464d | JaidenAnimations | Andrew Yang | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,227 | +$269 +6.4% | 4 |
| 464d | JaidenAnimations | Mark Cuban | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$95 +8.0% | 4 |
| 469d | Frosen | Thomas Massie | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$99 +8.2% | 4 |
| 473d |  TheKinginYellow | Rand Paul | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,306 | +$168 +7.3% | 4 |
| 474d | goingsocial | Thomas Massie | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,011 | +$360 +18% | 4 |
FreeCityIndividual298 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individuals publicly announces they have joined or switched their party affiliation to the "America Party," by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Expressions of interest, financial donations, or statements of ideological sympathy will not alone qualify unless accompanied by a clear claim of party affiliation. If the entity is referred to as the “America Party” or a name deemed by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same organization launched by Elon Musk it will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Andrew Yang means the market gives it about 0%.