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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Aaron Lukas | 0% | −11 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Chris Stewart | 0% | −6 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Richard Grenell | 0% | −6 pts | −3 pts | — · 5¢ | — | in 67d |
| John Eisenberg | 0% | −5 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Robert O’Brien | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Tom Cotton | 0% | −6 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| John Ratcliffe | 0% | −20 pts | −19 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Amaryllis Fox Kennedy | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Derek Harvey | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · 3¢ | — | in 67d |
| Devin Nunes | 0% | −6 pts | −8 pts | — · 3¢ | — | in 67d |
| Kash Patel | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Michael Ellis | 0% | −8 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Mike Flynn | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Mike Waltz | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Stacey Dixon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Sebastian Gorka | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 2¢ | — | in 67d |
| Stephen Miller | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| No announcement by December 31 | 0% | −11 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Elise Stefanik | 0% | −11 pts | −10 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Pete Hoekstra | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person AA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person AB | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person AC | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person AD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person AE | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person AF | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134d | Trustinghorse | Mike Waltz | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,645 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Trustinghorse | Kash Patel | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,106 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Trustinghorse | Tom Cotton | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,875 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Trustinghorse | Stephen Miller | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,848 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Trustinghorse | John Ratcliffe | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,197 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Trustinghorse | Sebastian Gorka | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,796 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Trustinghorse | Mike Flynn | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,096 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Trustinghorse | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,046 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d |  Cloverince | Stephen Miller | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Cloverince | Stacey Dixon | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Cloverince | John Eisenberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,608 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Cloverince | Chris Stewart | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,269 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Cloverince | Derek Harvey | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,247 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Cloverince | Robert O’Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,245 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Cloverince | Amaryllis Fox Kennedy | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,247 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | Cloverince | Tom Cotton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,383 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 134d |  aenews2 | Chris Stewart | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,220 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 134d | thcdmz | Michael Ellis | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,299 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d |  AgricultureSecretary | Pete Hoekstra | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,780 | +$99 +1.0% | 20 |
| 134d | AgricultureSecretary | Tom Cotton | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,192 | +$56 +1.3% | 20 |
| 134d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,344 | +$48 +2.0% | 20 |
| 134d | 0x2585e7022dc2075a108204bIxc08cea8d13b60a | No announcement by December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,698 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 134d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Aaron Lukas | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,972 | +$159 +2.3% | 20 |
| 134d | AgricultureSecretary | No announcement by December 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,510 | +$236 +3.1% | 20 |
| 134d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Devin Nunes | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$130 +5.3% | 20 |
| 134d |  meagainsttheworld | Aaron Lukas | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,282 | +$220 +9.6% | 20 |
| 134d | meagainsttheworld | No announcement by December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$207 +11% | 20 |
| 135d |  Trading4Fridge | No announcement by December 31 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | +$934 +35% | 20 |
| 143d | Shocked-Prospect2 fills | No announcement by December 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,826 | +$129 +2.2% | 20 |
| 143d | Shocked-Prospect | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,352 | +$40 +1.7% | 20 |
| 143d | Shocked-Prospect | Devin Nunes | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,018 | +$44 +1.5% | 20 |
| 143d | Shocked-Prospect | Aaron Lukas | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,867 | +$193 +3.3% | 20 |
| 153d | AiBird | Elise Stefanik | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$237 +20% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other means the market gives it about 100%.