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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Announcement by June 30 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kevin Warsh | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kevin Hassett | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arthur Laffer | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Larry Kudlow | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Judy Shelton | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Will Trump announce Person G as next Fed Chair? | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 479d | Newshound | No Announcement by June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,205 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 480d |  noreasapa | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,747 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 480d |  Slowroasted | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 480d |  abacaxi | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,182 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 480d | abacaxi | Arthur Laffer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,182 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 480d | abacaxi | Kevin Hassett | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,182 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 480d |  BuckMySalls | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,588 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 481d | CanadianGoose2 fills | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,944 | +$129 +1.6% | 20 |
| 484d | Newshound | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,044 | +$57 +2.8% | 20 |
| 487d | kymsttl | No Announcement by June 30 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | −$102 −4.8% | — |
| 487d | pako | No Announcement by June 30 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$40 −3.1% | — |
| 490d | POTUSby | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$84 +3.4% | 20 |
| 491d | pako | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | +$32 +2.5% | 20 |
| 491d | kymsttl | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$57 +4.5% | 20 |
| 498d |  Parz1vaI | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | +$239 +16% | 20 |
| 508d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,458 | +$70 +2.9% | 20 |
| 508d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | Kevin Hassett | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,956 | +$11 +0.4% | 20 |
| 508d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Kevin Warsh | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,392 | +$42 +1.8% | 20 |
| 509d |  TheWolfOfPoly2 fills | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,889 | +$368 +13% | 20 |
| 524d | sdiff123 | Kevin Warsh | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | −$37 −2.5% | — |
| 541d | valmont | Kevin Hassett | SellNo100¢ | $1,413 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 542d | valmont | Kevin Hassett | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,414 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 545d | PabloXtreme | Larry Kudlow | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,749 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 546d | PabloXtreme | Larry Kudlow | BuyNo100¢ | $1,751 | +$9 +0.5% | 20 |
| 546d | osmond | Larry Kudlow | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 546d | osmond | Larry Kudlow | BuyNo100¢ | $1,294 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 551d | HaroldHugo | Arthur Laffer | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | −$23 −1.5% | — |
| 551d | HaroldHugo | Arthur Laffer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,535 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 556d | rr65 | Larry Kudlow | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 559d |  dududududu | No Announcement by June 30 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$233 −22% | — |
| 566d | rrr60 | Arthur Laffer | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 584d | sdiff1232 fills | Kevin Warsh | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,477 | +$369 +11% | 20 |
| 590d | Nytheris | Larry Kudlow | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $43,206 | +$348 +0.8% | 20 |
| 594d | rrr60 | Kevin Hassett | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | −$38 −2.5% | — |
| 600d | Eryzian | Larry Kudlow | BuyNo>99¢ | $41,743 | +$168 +0.4% | 20 |
| 603d | Faeloria | Kevin Hassett | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,398 | +$114 +0.4% | 20 |
| 604d | Othvian | No Announcement by June 30 | SellNo16¢ → 0¢ | $12,803 | +$12,803 +100% | — |
| 604d | Erythar | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $67,637 | +$12,883 +19% | 20 |
| 606d | 0x6d20…a7c9 | Arthur Laffer | BuyNo100¢ | $65,394 | +$329 +0.5% | 20 |
| 607d | rrr60 | Kevin Hassett | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 607d | rrr60 | Arthur Laffer | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 607d | Thyrenis | Arthur Laffer | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $36,404 | +$368 +1.0% | 20 |
| 607d | Lioren | Judy Shelton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $40,311 | +$823 +2.0% | 20 |
| 613d | ANIME-183 | Kevin Hassett | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $33,961 | +$239 +0.7% | 20 |
| 613d | 98tyun | Arthur Laffer | BuyNo100¢ | $50,049 | +$252 +0.5% | 20 |
| 621d | QQ11-378 | Arthur Laffer | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,170 | −$130 −0.8% | — |
| 621d | TTCE77 | Kevin Warsh | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $29,667 | −$1,333 −4.5% | — |
| 621d | TTCE77 | Kevin Warsh | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $29,450 | +$1,550 +5.3% | 20 |
| 621d | TTCE77 | Judy Shelton | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,660 | +$209 +0.7% | 20 |
| 621d | TTCE77 | Kevin Hassett | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,608 | −$390 −1.3% | — |
| 621d | TTCE77 | Kevin Hassett | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $29,488 | +$510 +1.7% | 20 |
| 658d |  Eridpnc | No Announcement by June 30 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,275 | −$225 −5.3% | — |
| 659d | Eridpnc2 fills | No Announcement by June 30 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $11,589 | +$2,395 +21% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting who Donald Trump will select as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Announcement by June 30 means the market gives it about 100%.
