| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 4,198 | 40¢ → 69¢ | $2,875 | +$1,190 +71% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 481 | 41¢ → 77¢ | $370 | +$173 +88% |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 12d | Yes | 586 | 33¢ → 57¢ | $334 | +$141 +73% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 273 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $239 | +$37 +18% |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 222 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $214 | +$14 +6.9% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 222 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $207 | +$30 +17% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 435d | No | 237 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $186 | +$8 +4.7% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 166 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $151 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 145 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $137 | +$44 +48% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 435d | Yes | 616 | 30¢ → 22¢ | $132 | −$55 −29% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 101d | Yes | 245 | 76¢ → 53¢ | $130 | −$56 −30% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,947 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $128 | −$59 −32% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Ends in 435d | Yes | 404 | 22¢ → 31¢ | $125 | +$36 +41% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 738 | 24¢ → 17¢ | $122 | −$56 −32% |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 12d | No | 251 | 79¢ → 43¢ | $108 | −$90 −45% |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 113 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $108 | +$33 +43% |
| Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 111 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $106 | +$20 +23% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 117 | 25¢ → 83¢ | $97 | +$67 +230% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 102 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $95 | +$20 +26% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 100 | 50¢ → 94¢ | $93 | +$43 +87% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 90 | 56¢ → 92¢ | $82 | +$32 +64% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 174 | 29¢ → 47¢ | $82 | +$31 +61% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 458 | 10¢ → 17¢ | $80 | +$32 +67% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 68 | 74¢ → 99¢ | $67 | +$17 +34% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 70d | No | 66 | 41¢ → 97¢ | $64 | +$37 +136% |
| California voter ID referendum passes?Ends in 12d | No | 76 | 66¢ → 84¢ | $63 | +$13 +26% |
| X banned in any European country by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 70 | 71¢ → 88¢ | $62 | +$12 +23% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 130d | No | 72 | 47¢ → 85¢ | $61 | +$28 +83% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 77d | Yes | 187 | 27¢ → 29¢ | $54 | +$4 +7.4% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 130d | Yes | 65 | 36¢ → 84¢ | $54 | +$31 +132% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 63 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $53 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 72 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $53 | +$3 +5.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 52 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $49 | +$10 +24% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 77d | No | 51 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $49 | +$8 +20% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 345 | 40¢ → 14¢ | $48 | −$90 −65% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 77d | No | 67 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $47 | −$3 −5.3% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 77d | Yes | 70 | 30¢ → 68¢ | $47 | +$26 +129% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 82¢ | $46 | −$4 −8.4% |
| Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 643 | 31¢ → 7¢ | $45 | −$155 −77% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 63 | 75¢ → 70¢ | $44 | −$4 −7.4% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 137 | 36¢ → 31¢ | $42 | −$8 −16% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 78 | 64¢ → 53¢ | $41 | −$9 −17% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 41 | 66¢ → 98¢ | $40 | +$13 +48% |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 44 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $38 | +$1 +2.2% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 396 | 14¢ → 9¢ | $35 | −$20 −37% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Ends in 130d | No | 35 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $35 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 50 | 54¢ → 70¢ | $35 | +$8 +30% |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 145 | 32¢ → 24¢ | $35 | −$11 −24% |
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 36 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $34 | +$2 +6.7% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 40 | 94¢ → 83¢ | $33 | −$4 −12% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 180 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $33 | −$16 −33% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 33 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $32 | +$2 +6.3% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 78 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $32 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 165 | 34¢ → 19¢ | $31 | −$25 −44% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 98 | 51¢ → 31¢ | $30 | −$20 −40% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 31 | 56¢ → 94¢ | $29 | +$12 +66% |
| Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 684 | 29¢ → 4¢ | $29 | −$167 −85% |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?Ends ended | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 28¢ | $29 | +$28 +2750% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 147 | 34¢ → 19¢ | $28 | −$22 −44% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Ends in 820d | No | 125 | 40¢ → 22¢ | $27 | −$23 −46% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 32 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $26 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 206 | 47¢ → 13¢ | $26 | −$71 −73% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 16,572 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $25 | −$290 −92% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | Yes | 284 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $24 | −$6 −21% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 107 | 46¢ → 22¢ | $24 | −$26 −52% |
| Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 12d | Yes | 312 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $23 | −$27 −53% |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 158 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $22 | −$28 −56% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 36 | 72¢ → 60¢ | $22 | −$4 −17% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 301 | 60¢ → 7¢ | $21 | −$161 −88% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 550 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $21 | −$28 −57% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 132 | 38¢ → 16¢ | $20 | −$30 −59% |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Ends in 129d | No | 20 | 56¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$7 +62% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Ends in 435d | Yes | 26 | 49¢ → 68¢ | $17 | +$5 +37% |
| California voter ID referendum passes?Ends in 12d | Yes | 102 | 48¢ → 17¢ | $17 | −$32 −66% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 17 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $16 | +$3 +19% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 67 | 76¢ → 23¢ | $15 | −$36 −70% |
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 287 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $15 | −$32 −69% |
| Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 12d | Yes | 842 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$35 −71% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 130d | Yes | 92 | 55¢ → 15¢ | $14 | −$37 −73% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 129d | No | 15 | 58¢ → 85¢ | $13 | +$4 +47% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 297 | 16¢ → 4¢ | $13 | −$36 −74% |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 340 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $13 | −$29 −69% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 33 | 60¢ → 37¢ | $12 | −$8 −38% |
| X banned in any European country by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 95 | 47¢ → 13¢ | $12 | −$33 −73% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 314 | 64¢ → 4¢ | $11 | −$191 −94% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 12 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.2% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,050 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$174 −94% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 229 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $10 | −$24 −70% |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 417 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $10 | −$40 −80% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 77d | No | 30 | 72¢ → 33¢ | $10 | −$12 −55% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 75 | 26¢ → 13¢ | $10 | −$10 −52% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 202 | 24¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$40 −82% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Ends in 435d | No | 13 | 80¢ → 69¢ | $9 | −$1 −14% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 13 | 68¢ → 63¢ | $8 | −$1 −6.9% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 20 | 85¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$9 −53% |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Ends in 70d | No | 8 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 93 | 57¢ → 9¢ | $8 | −$45 −85% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 77d | Yes | 145 | 25¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$29 −80% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 70d | Yes | 101 | 26¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$19 −75% |
