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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ursula von der Leyen | 100% | — | +88 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 100% | +88 pts | +88 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 100% | +88 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | −3 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Rutte | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0% | −13 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friedrich Merz | 100% | +37 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Carney | 100% | +2 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kim Jong Un | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maria Corina Machado | 0% | −14 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 100% | +35 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nicolás Maduro | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −7 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lula da Silva | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reza Pahlavi | 0% | −3 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 100% | +29 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pope Leo XIV | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 0% | −6 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d |  drakelong | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $3,977 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | pretzel | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $6,436 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | lasso | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $42,300 | −$42 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | maxiforza | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 176d |  70cx577x6f7 | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $24,259 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 176d |  OraculumNobius | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 176d | Trustinghorse | Lula da Silva | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,395 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 176d | Anothdirhshu | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $5,413 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 176d | FlyingPlaty | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes>99¢ | $106,509 | +$107 +0.1% | 4 |
| 176d | Corrupt-Lark | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,368 | +$17 +0.2% | 4 |
| 176d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,902 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 176d | Diidae | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes100¢ | $1,234 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 176d |  Kalags | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes100¢ | $3,980 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 176d |  0561 | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,036 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 177d | Corrupt-Lark | Xi Jinping | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$6 +0.6% | 4 |
| 177d |  DREAMBIG. | Yoon Suk Yeol | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,206 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 177d |  Chims | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,571 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 177d | Sunbe | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $4,367 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 177d | looppau | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,245 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 177d | OraculumNobius | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,993 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
| 177d | Circular-Wifi | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,609 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 177d | wigglew3 fills | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,517 | +$305 +6.7% | 6 |
| 177d |  aenews2 | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$328 +22% | 10 |
| 177d | Genuine-Polo | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $2,493 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 177d |  dxsconnect | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $8,218 | −$8,218 −100% | 11 |
| 177d | dxsconnect | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,872 | +$391 +8.0% | 6 |
| 177d | xoxoxo888 | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $2,396 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 177d | niki-winner | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,216 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 177d | pierojoe | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,398 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 177d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $7,749 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 177d |  GeorgeFent | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,555 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 177d | BOSSOFNFTS2 fills | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $4,279 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 177d |  Newsance3 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,246 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 |
| 177d | 64539564936 | Vladimir Putin | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,976 | −$121 −2.4% | — |
| 177d | Riveb44b | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,584 | +$28 +0.4% | 4 |
| 177d |  vinii | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,146 | +$32 +1.0% | 4 |
| 177d |  AgricultureSecretary | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$78 +5.3% | 5 |
| 177d |  mombil2 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,070 | +$641 +21% | 9 |
| 177d |  QuantDuck | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$51 −4.9% | — |
| 177d | Awkward-Bride | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,728 | −$413 −11% | — |
| 177d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd3 fills | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $16,171 | +$655 +4.0% | 5 |
| 177d | Awkward-Bride | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,585 | +$402 +11% | 7 |
| 177d | helimaxi | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,186 | −$278 −13% | — |
| 178d | 70cx577x6f7 | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,554 +31% | 8 |
| 179d | emp992 | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | −$828 −42% | — |
| 179d | balabalababalabala | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | −$507 −40% | — |
| 179d | wigglew | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | −$324 −28% | — |
| 179d | lasso3 fills | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $24,579 | +$5,707 +23% | 7 |
| 179d |  tetrase | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | +$518 +37% | 9 |
| 179d |  polymolly-465 | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | −$505 −33% | — |
| 179d | 0x955c…990f | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $5,118 | +$1,288 +25% | 7 |
| 179d | Sudden-Angina | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,654 | −$1,654 −100% | 17 |
| 179d | Sudden-Angina | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | −$605 −37% | — |
| 179d | pretzel | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $5,043 | +$772 +15% | 6 |
| 179d |  imnice | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,717 | +$433 +12% | 6 |
| 179d | emp9922 fills | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,465 | +$343 +14% | 6 |
| 180d | ZoomZoomr | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,103 | +$244 +12% | 6 |
| 180d | helimaxi | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,132 | +$332 +16% | 6 |
| 180d | Worried-Explanation | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$185 +15% | 8 |
| 180d | Anothdirhshu | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,603 | +$422 +12% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ursula von der Leyen means the market gives it about 100%.