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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 389d | calvinhobbes123 | September 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 394d | LFC8 | September 30 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$163 +14% | 21 |
| 396d | phoenix26 | September 30 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$347 +18% | 21 |
| 396d |  PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN2 fills | September 30 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,929 | +$607 +21% | 21 |
| 396d | DonaldMusk12 fills | September 30 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,979 | −$649 −22% | — |
| 396d |  vityaz | September 30 | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,067 | −$1,067 −100% | 22 |
| 396d | skylove | September 30 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | +$433 +22% | 21 |
| 396d | DonaldMusk1 | September 30 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | +$315 +25% | 21 |
| 397d |  hdkjhg | September 30 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$431 +30% | 20 |
| 397d | gremlin | September 30 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$321 +30% | 20 |
| 397d |  ImJustKen | September 30 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $5,228 | +$1,684 +32% | 20 |
vityaz6,713 shares
Blunderton1,678 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. court blocks the implementation of any portion of the $100,000 payment requirement for H-1B visa petitions announced in “Restriction on Entry of Certain Nonimmigrant Workers” (Presidential Proclamation, Sept 19, 2025) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation—e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order—will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for September 30 means the market gives it about 0%.