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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 8 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 15 | 100% | +6 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 28 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157d | Trustinghorse | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,213 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,325 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 157d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd2 fills | May 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,018 | +$101 +1.0% | 20 |
| 157d | alkh | May 15 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 157d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,179 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d | niqqaping2 fills | May 8 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,810 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d | 033033033 | May 8 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,711 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 170d | nonkenny90 | May 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | +$72 +4.2% | 20 |
| 170d |  G3M | April 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,570 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 171d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd3 fills | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,531 | +$20 +0.3% | 20 |
| 171d |  KimchiCapital2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,228 | +$27 +0.4% | 20 |
| 171d | livepo1y | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | +$31 +1.6% | 20 |
| 172d | cripes3 | May 31 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | −$68 −5.9% | — |
| 175d | QMG-CORE | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,074 | +$21 +1.0% | 20 |
| 178d | msrcap2 | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | +$17 +1.1% | 20 |
| 179d | SolFlip | April 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | −$21 −1.7% | — |
| 179d | SolFlip | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$14 +1.4% | 20 |
| 180d | Danieljay | May 15 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$254 +14% | 20 |
| 180d | test17727 | April 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | −$34 −2.5% | — |
| 180d | noise126trader | May 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$23 +2.3% | 20 |
| 180d |  estrume | April 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,862 | −$186 −3.8% | — |
| 180d | ak123 | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,209 | +$50 +1.6% | 20 |
| 180d | Shocked-Prospect | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$31 +2.0% | 20 |
| 180d |  49023809234904 | April 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$39 +2.6% | 20 |
| 180d |  DREAMBIG. | April 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | +$104 +4.2% | 20 |
| 180d |  Sunbreon | April 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$46 +4.2% | 20 |
| 180d | jaykay722 fills | May 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,200 | +$109 +1.8% | 20 |
| 180d |  mountaindewd | May 8 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$341 +28% | 20 |
| 180d | 88888888888888888 | May 31 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$324 +16% | 20 |
| 180d |  Mzizouille | April 30 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | −$227 −17% | — |
| 180d | G3M | April 30 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$300 +20% | 20 |
| 181d | Z786 | May 31 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$137 +13% | 20 |
| 181d |  Parz1vaI | April 30 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$180 +18% | 20 |
| 181d | Mzizouille | April 30 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$243 +19% | 20 |
| 182d | estrume | April 30 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,048 +26% | 20 |
| 182d | Parz1vaI | April 30 | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,034 | −$641 −32% | — |
| 184d |  iForgor | April 30 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | +$749 +49% | 20 |
| 201d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,809 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 203d |  beenraping | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,494 | +$27 +1.1% | 20 |
| 204d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | March 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,398 | +$111 +4.6% | 20 |
| 208d |  kaedama | March 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$106 +7.1% | 20 |
| 232d | py24 | February 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,808 | +$12 +0.4% | 20 |
ripntearer4,380 shares
NOTHINGSEVERFRICKINFAIRONHERE2,500 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for April 30 means the market gives it about 0%.