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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −27 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,642 | −$12 −0.4% | — | |
| 376d | esac | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,546 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 376d | comparee | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 376d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 376d | trombtvoeimom | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,176 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 376d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$84 +3.5% | 20 | |
| 376d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,951 | +$25 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 376d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,308 | +$63 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 376d | hose | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$152 +8.4% | 20 |
| 376d | Abel12345 | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,980 | +$400 +13% | 20 |
| 376d | rokoo69 | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$328 +22% | 20 |
| 376d | comparee | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | +$199 +15% | 20 |
| 376d | Luckyguyy | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $2,790 | −$2,790 −100% | 20 |
| 376d | Nebula-Croissant | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | −$1,002 −100% | 20 |
| 376d | ChrisMoltisanti | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | +$1,111 +100% | — |
| 378d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$1,462 +123% | 28 | |
| 378d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | +$1,440 +100% | — | |
| 378d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,875 | −$1,875 −100% | 24 | |
| 378d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | −$1,070 −100% | 25 | |
| 379d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$653 +33% | 24 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases another living Israeli hostage held in Gaza by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.