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Polymarket wallet 0xf5f9413eee82586e7ffce1992deacb02866f9ad6 · on Polymarket since May 25, 2025 · also shown as Bite-Sized-Adviser
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 4,800 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $4,008 | −$120 −2.9% |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 962 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$434 −100% |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 101 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,315 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$293 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 409 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 231 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.