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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 814d | Dufu | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,298 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 814d | wasusdas | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,200 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 |
| 814d | nada2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,796 | +$248 +1.3% | 20 |
| 815d | Blueberry2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,279 | +$73 +0.2% | 20 |
| 815d |  Erasmus. | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 815d |  occasionalAwareness | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $49,900 | +$100 +0.2% | 20 |
| 815d | XXI | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,019 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 815d | aviato | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 815d | theertet35 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 815d |  RedStone | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 816d |  VibesGreaterRules | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 816d | Christine2929 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,157 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 816d | Amy24 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 817d | Angela2020 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 817d | unscented-nerd - 5386 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 817d | Charles1502 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,164 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 817d |  Squee2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $13,547 | −$44 −0.3% | — |
| 820d |  Coram_Deo | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,008 | −$18 −0.4% | — |
| 820d | 0xfe91…70ff | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,444 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 820d |  rationalpositiveev | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 820d |  4theCats2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,071 | +$164 +1.2% | 20 |
| 820d |  ImJustKen4 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $109,802 | +$2,700 +2.5% | 20 |
| 820d | 0xmaniac | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,952 | −$48 −2.5% | — |
| 820d | Squee5 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,965 | +$508 +3.4% | 20 |
| 821d | bama124 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | +$36 +2.2% | 20 |
| 821d | yukonboi | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$23 +2.1% | 20 |
| 821d |  fhantombets | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,461 | −$302 −4.1% | — |
| 822d |  50Whence2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,755 | −$133 −3.5% | — |
| 822d | 0xb1B5674522271a4026EeB110943D6206c197C53D | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$51 +3.1% | 20 |
| 822d | polyproguy | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | −$53 −3.4% | — |
| 823d | SCD-8077 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $57,231 | +$2,266 +4.0% | 20 |
| 824d | BobbyB2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,289 | +$96 +4.2% | 20 |
| 824d | unscented-nerd - 5386 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$192 +3.8% | 20 |
| 824d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,902 | +$163 +4.2% | 20 |
| 825d | polyproguy | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,350 | +$89 +2.0% | 20 |
| 830d | Coram_Deo | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,681 | +$80 +1.7% | 20 |
| 831d | qwufnr-3849j2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,112 | +$288 +4.7% | 20 |
| 832d | qwufnr-3849j | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,691 | −$163 −3.5% | — |
| 839d | Technopriest | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | −$49 −4.0% | — |
| 839d | Technopriest | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$36 +2.9% | 20 |
| 847d | Gdub | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$63 +4.2% | 20 |
| 877d | Muuuboii | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,598 | −$202 −5.6% | — |
| 887d |  fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | −$100 −5.3% | — |
| 902d | Muuuboii | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,542 | +$189 +4.2% | 20 |
| 904d | food | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | −$200 −5.3% | — |
| 906d | fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$100 +4.2% | 20 |
| 942d |  BigMike114 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,929 | −$348 −5.9% | — |
| 942d | Agnimandur | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$64 −5.3% | — |
| 945d |  SesameCake | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,450 | −$445 −5.3% | — |
| 947d | randomname3948282 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,500 | −$500 −5.3% | — |
| 947d | BigMike11 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 20 |
| 947d | SesameCake2 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $14,997 | +$625 +4.2% | 20 |
| 951d | ASOFE | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$53 −5.3% | — |
| 954d |  LBZcapital | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | −$75 −5.3% | — |
| 954d |  ANudeEgg | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | −$250 −5.3% | — |
| 954d | SesameCake2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,330 | +$565 +5.5% | 20 |
| 955d | ANudeEgg2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,238 | +$381 +6.1% | 20 |
| 961d | Nobody23041 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | −$82 −7.5% | — |
| 962d | 1914L | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$88 −8.7% | — |
| 966d | Chad-Wasp2 fills | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $21,434 | −$1,613 −7.5% | — |
kindatired1,517 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Michelle Obama, former First Lady of the United States, announces that she is running for president of the United States of America in 2024 by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Michelle Obama will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether she actually files to run for president in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Michelle Obama (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or her legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.