Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| July 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| August 31 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | fpjsqj | September 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,527 | +$112 +1.3% | 20 |
| 32d | nonkenny90 | September 30 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,186 | −$114 −3.6% | — |
| 33d | imumoccupancy2 fills | September 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,782 | +$132 +3.5% | 20 |
| 40d | September 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$56 +4.1% | 20 | |
| 46d | thoodr | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,852 | +$48 +2.6% | 20 |
| 46d | thoodr | September 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,544 | +$156 +4.4% | 20 |
| 57d | September 30 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | −$39 −3.3% | — | |
| 64d | nedsta2 fills | September 30 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $10,441 | +$1,225 +12% | 20 |
| 83d | September 30 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,268 | −$339 −15% | — | |
| 88d | StudentMoney | September 30 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,722 | +$851 +18% | 20 |
| 88d | aviato | July 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$18 +1.2% | 20 |
| 91d | December 31 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 20 | |
| 92d | TheShipThatNeverSinks | December 31 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,308 | −$510 −15% | — |
| 93d | StudentMoney | July 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$11 +0.8% | 20 |
| 93d | July 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,699 | −$65 −1.8% | — | |
| 93d | TheShipThatNeverSinks | December 31 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,295 | +$523 +16% | 20 |
| 93d | September 30 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | +$570 +27% | 20 | |
| 94d | September 30 | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,961 | −$929 −23% | — | |
| 94d | weatherprod | July 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,270 | −$26 −0.6% | — |
| 94d | July 31 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,144 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 94d | July 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,967 | +$159 +1.1% | 20 | |
| 94d | boppa | July 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | +$29 +2.0% | 20 |
| 94d | weatherprod | July 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,163 | +$134 +3.2% | 20 |
| 94d | September 30 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $4,019 | +$2,024 +50% | 20 | |
| 94d | July 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$52 +4.2% | 20 | |
| 94d | July 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$72 +6.4% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for September 30 means the market gives it about 100%.