| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 230 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $192 | −$3 −1.3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 155 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $155 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 132 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $125 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 123 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $112 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 69 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $67 | −$0 −0.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $65 | +$0 +0.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 66 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $65 | +$5 +7.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 62 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $58 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 66 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $57 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 59 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $57 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 52 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $51 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $44 | +$10 +29% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $35 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 32 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $31 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $29 | +$1 +5.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 31 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 39 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $28 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 28 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $27 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $25 | +$2 +8.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $21 | +$0 +1.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $21 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 24 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $17 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $17 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$3 +26% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 88 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $15 | −$0 −2.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 86 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $15 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 21 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $15 | −$1 −4.1% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$2 +16% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $13 | +$0 +2.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 66¢ → 64¢ | $13 | −$1 −4.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 14 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $11 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 83¢ → 78¢ | $10 | −$1 −5.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 14 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.2% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 9 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 88 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $8 | −$2 −22% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 8 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 9 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.4% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $6 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 434d | No | 6 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 64 | 67¢ → 9¢ | $5 | −$38 −87% |
| Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 6 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $5 | +$1 +25% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.8% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 5 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 14 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 4 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $4 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | No | 4 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 4 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 434d | No | 4 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +20% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 66¢ → 60¢ | $3 | −$0 −9.5% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 3 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $3 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 23 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | No | 5 | 62¢ → 65¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 5 | 56¢ → 59¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.5% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $3 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 3 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.9% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +44% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 4 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $3 | +$0 +18% |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.3% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesSettled - ready to redeem | Atlanta Braves | 3 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +67% |
| Will Kai or Speed die to an Ender Dragon?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +66% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 41¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +144% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
