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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d |  Master-bettor3 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,648 | −$84 −1.1% | — |
| 662d | camilldtt | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 662d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 664d |  Trashbag | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,570 | −$190 −0.8% | — |
| 665d |  ADudeEgg | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,966 | +$10 +0.3% | 20 |
| 665d | Offshore-472 | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,566 | −$31 −0.9% | — |
| 665d |  noreasapa2 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,732 | −$32 −0.7% | — |
| 665d | Offshore-472 | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,666 | +$17 +0.3% | 20 |
| 667d |  vocifer | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,217 | +$17 +0.8% | 20 |
| 667d | DanielCCC-3032 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,544 | −$77 −1.7% | — |
| 667d | Master-bettor6 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,949 | +$260 +1.7% | 20 |
| 668d |  RememberAmalek | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$14 +1.3% | 20 |
| 670d |  LBZcapital2 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,487 | −$548 −6.5% | — |
| 670d | ChrisV2 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,378 | +$122 +2.3% | 20 |
| 670d | Nowhere-Man | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,413 | −$34 −1.4% | — |
| 674d | xcnstrategy | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$14 +1.3% | 20 |
| 677d | hiddenbebb | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 679d |  CastleRock | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | −$30 −2.0% | — |
| 681d | TraderDN2 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,824 | −$70 −2.5% | — |
| 682d | Trashbag2 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $23,220 | +$540 +2.3% | 20 |
| 688d | keribit | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$76 +2.5% | 20 |
| 688d | Nowhere-Man4 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,676 | +$324 +3.0% | 20 |
| 689d |  MisTKy3 | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$45 +3.1% | 20 |
| 690d | Skaliz | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | −$59 −3.2% | — |
| 693d | CastleRock | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,121 | +$70 +3.3% | 20 |
| 696d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,807 | −$194 −4.0% | — |
| 696d | TraderDN | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,536 | +$92 +3.6% | 20 |
| 696d |  UnderwriterGCR | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$73 +3.6% | 20 |
| 702d |  Car | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,663 | −$145 −4.0% | — |
| 704d | Idontwantausername | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | −$77 −3.2% | — |
| 707d | ddyypo | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,509 | −$117 −3.3% | — |
| 711d |  AvocadoLu | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,865 | +$135 +2.8% | 20 |
| 716d | ddyypo | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,547 | +$80 +2.2% | 20 |
| 716d | polyscience | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $32,419 | +$831 +2.6% | 20 |
| 717d | Car5 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,862 | +$843 +6.1% | 20 |
| 717d | AcidBurn95 | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | −$72 −4.1% | — |
| 717d | DFKK | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,344 | −$211 −4.0% | — |
| 718d | AcidBurn952 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,140 | +$282 +4.6% | 20 |
| 719d | Luxovac | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$60 +4.3% | 20 |
| 719d | whyyi5 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $46,894 | +$3,827 +8.2% | 20 |
| 722d |  scout3 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $32,917 | +$2,604 +7.9% | 20 |
| 722d | DanielCCC-3032 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $8,998 | +$662 +7.4% | 20 |
| 725d | prjects | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$94 +8.8% | 20 |
| 727d | Veryverybigman | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$134 −13% | — |
| 731d | commeowder | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$111 +8.0% | 20 |
| 731d | comon119 | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,442 | −$1,442 −100% | 23 |
| 731d | noore | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$72 +5.7% | 20 |
| 731d | vainglorious873 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,181 | −$300 −7.2% | — |
| 748d | GaviES | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | −$36 −3.0% | — |
| 748d | GaviES | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$19 +1.6% | 20 |
| 748d | CryptoRamboo | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$33 −3.1% | — |
| 748d | CryptoRamboo | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$23 +2.1% | 20 |
| 748d | Joe1979 | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | −$34 −2.9% | — |
| 748d | Joe1979 | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$25 +2.1% | 20 |
| 776d | acctpoly | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | −$46 −4.5% | — |
| 783d | lowrisk242 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,317 | +$283 +5.3% | 20 |
| 802d |  timurka | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | −$87 −7.2% | — |
| 802d | timurka | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$78 +6.4% | 20 |
| 802d |  chura | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$75 −7.3% | — |
| 802d | chura | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$68 +6.5% | 20 |
dinholt11 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of South Korea by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by North Korea, South Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.