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Polymarket wallet 0xfb6417f13b14a97188aeda97242d909ec58eeb56 · on Polymarket since Nov 30, 2024 · also shown as Bewitched-Sightseeing
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 11,325 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $10,702 | −$157 −1.4% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7,500 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $7,301 | +$326 +4.7% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2,000 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,951 | −$7 −0.4% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 1,626 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $1,563 | −$15 −0.9% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,045 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,023 | +$2 +0.2% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,000 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $962 | +$6 +0.6% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $479 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 141 | 97¢ → 92¢ | $130 | −$7 −4.8% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 79 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $77 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 28 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $27 | +$0 +0.2% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.