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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  BrightTiger | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,317 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 315d | pol762 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,628 | −$25 −0.9% | — |
| 322d |  0xdc3E831cad | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | −$28 −2.5% | — |
| 352d | OldCCT | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$25 +2.0% | 20 |
| 353d |  500EUR | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$24 +2.0% | 20 |
| 359d |  DEGENKHAN | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | −$24 −1.6% | — |
| 380d | Gdub | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,946 | −$45 −2.3% | — |
| 394d | DEGENKHAN2 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,948 | +$131 +4.4% | 20 |
| 394d |  DFK | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,088 | +$69 +3.3% | 20 |
| 523d |  O3O.legacy.02 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,096 | −$233 −7.5% | — |
| 558d | O3O.legacy.02 fills | Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,015 | +$227 +7.5% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea between January 29 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.