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Polymarket wallet 0xab13819f5cb488b96ad4465783c63350d65f1c1b · on Polymarket since Apr 14, 2025 · also shown as Definitive-Tragedy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 13 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 13 | 71¢ → 69¢ | $9 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 19 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.