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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449d |  sorcerer.01 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,031 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 450d |  dooby3 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $35,725 | −$86 −0.2% | — |
| 450d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,040 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 450d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 450d | ourdemocracy2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,531 | +$40 +0.2% | 4 |
| 450d | ourdemocracy22 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,743 | +$57 +2.1% | 4 |
| 450d | Clown2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,191 | +$39 +0.3% | 4 |
| 451d | burtonnatalie | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,050 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 451d | thompsonmargaret | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,027 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 451d | campbellalbert | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,038 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 451d | shannonperez | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,022 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 451d | dooby2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,730 | +$81 +0.2% | 4 |
| 452d |  MisTKy35 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $39,277 | −$128 −0.3% | — |
| 452d |  Arlette | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,970 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
| 452d | MisTKy32 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,250 | +$155 +0.5% | 4 |
| 452d | taralynnbar | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,033 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 453d |  bosshog3 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,940 | +$60 +0.3% | 4 |
| 453d |  XAE12Archangel | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,807 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 455d |  tiburcio2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,031 | +$38 +0.2% | 4 |
| 456d | Arlette2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $34,930 | +$70 +0.2% | 4 |
| 457d | makelel | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo100¢ | $2,393 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 457d | makelel | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,400 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 457d | popSMART | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,955 | +$33 +0.3% | 4 |
| 458d |  Trumputin | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,250 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 458d |  Tenebrus7 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,914 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 460d |  0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $48,001 | −$205 −0.4% | — |
| 463d |  Dragontree | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,810 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 464d | Olbrzymidzie | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,239 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 465d | 0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo100¢ | $47,965 | +$241 +0.5% | 4 |
| 469d | Retired-Davis | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,668 | −$202 −0.7% | — |
| 469d | nedsta2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,764 | −$65 −0.8% | — |
| 469d |  GayPride | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,661 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 470d |  bananik3 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 470d | bananik3 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 471d | fakktcheck0019 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,239 | −$16 −0.7% | — |
| 473d | Starry-Flanker | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$101 +0.5% | 4 |
| 474d | Retired-Davis2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $25,673 | +$185 +0.7% | 4 |
| 474d | 0x253d…3307 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | −$21 −1.4% | — |
| 475d | rdba2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,220 | −$110 −1.3% | — |
| 478d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,717 | −$121 −1.8% | — |
| 479d |  Funfzig2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,001 | −$47 −1.6% | — |
| 480d | XAE12Archangel3 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,301 | +$290 +2.0% | 4 |
| 482d | 0x253d…33074 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,499 | +$250 +3.8% | 4 |
| 483d |  RepublicOfChina | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | −$15 −1.3% | — |
| 483d | taralynnbar2 fills | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,341 | +$43 +1.3% | 4 |
| 487d |  neetbets | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,866 | −$58 −3.1% | — |
| 487d |  Erasmus. | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,829 | +$306 +3.1% | 4 |
| 487d | Funfzig | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$43 +4.2% | 4 |
| 487d | ksenon | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$54 +5.3% | 4 |
| 487d | nedsta | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,875 | +$362 +5.3% | 4 |
| 487d | polywog | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,386 | +$663 +6.4% | 4 |
| 489d | rdba | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$79 +6.4% | 4 |
BabyYoda1249,888 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.