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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Marco Rubio | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109d | h00neyballzsports | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,422 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 114d | thoodr3 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,593 | +$83 +1.3% | 20 |
| 114d | Donald Trump | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,354 | −$25 −1.1% | — | |
| 115d | thoodr2 fills | JD Vance | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,986 | +$39 +1.3% | 20 |
| 118d | Donald Trump | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | −$22 −1.7% | — | |
| 118d | nedsta | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 123d | haraya | Marco Rubio | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | +$44 +3.3% | 20 |
| 136d | kanhaoleaha | Donald Trump | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$172 +14% | 20 |
| 138d | Donald Trump | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$242 +22% | 20 | |
| 140d | wakakakakakaka | Donald Trump | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$66 +4.2% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 100%.