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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $615 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | Worse-Scenario | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $2,548 | −$68 −2.7% | — |
| 91d |  Milktoast4 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $5,353 | −$234 −4.4% | — |
| 102d |  allenzzz6 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 97¢ | $24,990 | +$2,411 +9.6% | 28 |
| 109d | TreepleA2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyYes11¢ → 3¢ | $3,000 | −$2,214 −74% | 48 |
| 112d | RealKeyserSoze | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,172 | −$40 −3.4% | — |
| 114d | enrico-vasaio | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $2,382 | +$55 +2.3% | 23 |
| 124d | sonnguyen95 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo87¢ → 97¢ | $1,143 | −$141 −12% | — |
| 145d | Puksu | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ → 97¢ | $1,896 | −$365 −19% | — |
| 146d | sonnguyen95 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $3,300 | +$430 +13% | 29 |
| 151d | Puksu | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $2,000 | +$260 +13% | 29 |
| 158d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo85¢ → 97¢ | $2,920 | +$419 +14% | 30 |
| 169d |  beenraping | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo85¢ → 97¢ | $1,083 | −$151 −14% | — |
| 175d | StudentMoney2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $2,455 | +$322 +13% | 29 |
| 182d | RobClive | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyYes20¢ → 3¢ | $2,500 | −$2,147 −86% | 45 |
| 183d | YK321 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo86¢ → 97¢ | $1,290 | −$168 −13% | — |
| 183d | YK321 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $3,500 | +$465 +13% | 29 |
| 183d | beenraping6 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $15,718 | +$1,122 +7.1% | 26 |
| 205d |  SaddamHusseinHidingSpot | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $18,351 | +$625 +3.4% | 24 |
| 227d |  DegenerateJanet | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,860 | −$84 −4.5% | — |
| 244d |  ScarletRot | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo90¢ → 97¢ | $13,692 | −$1,095 −8.0% | — |
| 249d | Minty-Vane | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $10,010 | +$682 +6.8% | 26 |
| 251d | BENFICAA | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $4,550 | +$310 +6.8% | 26 |
| 252d | Vonderwul | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,978 | −$158 −8.0% | — |
| 253d | Vonderwul | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $2,000 | +$136 +6.8% | 26 |
| 254d | Gdub | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,820 | +$124 +6.8% | 26 |
| 255d | BowlOfPunch2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo89¢ → 97¢ | $4,286 | −$408 −9.5% | — |
| 255d |  TrentaColdBrew | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $2,264 | +$154 +6.8% | 26 |
| 264d |  dumbass2 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $3,678 | −$243 −6.6% | — |
| 336d |  Obamnna | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo84¢ → 97¢ | $2,997 | −$471 −16% | — |
| 336d | Obamnna | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 97¢ | $3,000 | +$469 +16% | 31 |
| 345d |  Jep-G | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 97¢ | $1,500 | +$258 +17% | 31 |
| 371d |  ApuStonks | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ → 97¢ | $1,478 | −$278 −19% | — |
| 379d | ApuStonks | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 97¢ | $1,500 | +$257 +17% | 31 |
| 381d | CompulsiveGambler | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ → 97¢ | $1,066 | −$198 −19% | — |
| 409d | garage2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo78¢ → 97¢ | $3,541 | −$846 −24% | — |
| 409d | garage2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 97¢ | $3,765 | +$622 +17% | 31 |
| 427d | ScarletRot2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo82¢ → 97¢ | $12,489 | +$2,298 +18% | 32 |
| 438d |  willis1111 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo76¢ → 97¢ | $1,828 | −$510 −28% | — |
| 439d | Solid-Gnat | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 97¢ | $1,749 | +$430 +25% | 35 |
| 439d |  just.some.guy | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo77¢ → 97¢ | $3,160 | +$839 +27% | 35 |
| 440d |  k7X9mP2qW4 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo74¢ → 97¢ | $1,777 | −$564 −32% | — |
| 444d | willis1111 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo77¢ → 97¢ | $3,078 | +$810 +26% | 35 |
| 448d |  DirkDiggler67 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 97¢ | $1,800 | +$360 +20% | 33 |
| 455d | QMG-CORE | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo80¢ → 97¢ | $1,326 | −$285 −21% | — |
| 455d |  Car | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 97¢ | $1,300 | +$260 +20% | 33 |
| 455d |  kickstandhater | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 97¢ | $3,146 | +$617 +20% | 32 |
| 456d | InsiderrrZ | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyYes16¢ → 3¢ | $1,584 | −$1,300 −82% | 43 |
| 456d | BowlOfPunch | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo87¢ → 97¢ | $3,934 | +$461 +12% | 29 |
| 457d | anonymus8 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $1,853 | +$241 +13% | 29 |
| 457d |  Frosen | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,201 | +$82 +6.8% | 26 |
| 457d | QMG-CORE | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,070 | +$73 +6.8% | 26 |
aenews23,334 shares
Nancy-Pelosi3,320 sharesallenzzz36,492 shares
elmcap29,000 shares95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b047,358 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 3%.