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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28 | 100% | — | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 7 | 100% | +9 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 6 | 100% | +4 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| May 14 | 100% | +32 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 8 | 100% | +9 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 24 | 100% | +10 pts | +11 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| May 17 | 100% | +10 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 21 | 100% | +7 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 11 | 100% | +11 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 30 | 100% | +6 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 13 | 100% | +17 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 1 | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 22 | 100% | +7 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 18 | 100% | +3 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 12 | 100% | +11 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 29 | 100% | +6 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 20 | 100% | +6 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 5 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 27 | 100% | +5 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 15 | 100% | +24 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 4 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 9 | 100% | +8 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 26 | 100% | +7 pts | +11 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| May 25 | 100% | +4 pts | +9 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 10 | 100% | +18 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 23 | 100% | +11 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 19 | 100% | +5 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 3 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 16 | 100% | +11 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 2 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142d |  Rex416 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,168 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 142d |  noreasapa | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,903 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 143d |  yen4u2 fills | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,785 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 143d | thanksmom | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,508 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 143d |  mr.ozi | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,200 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 144d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,016 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 144d |  JasonPunos | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,102 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 144d |  tetrase | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,103 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 144d | mr.ozi2 fills | May 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,447 | +$495 +9.1% | 4 |
| 145d |  CosmicCedar | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,424 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | klyntardrax | May 31 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$213 −19% | — |
| 146d |  meagainsttheworld | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$21 +1.5% | 4 |
| 146d |  pilipro22 fills | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,386 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | anon.1980.123 | May 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$90 +7.5% | 6 |
| 147d | anon.1980.123 | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,096 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | yen4u2 fills | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,757 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 147d |  winner123 | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 147d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,471 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,422 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | Awkward-Bride | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,484 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | Extra-Small-Weapon | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,064 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | Whole-Rating | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,091 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 147d |  Gleaming-Pear | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,216 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | Stonktrader | May 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,796 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | Shirtybonds | May 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,474 | +$39 +0.1% | 4 |
| 147d | polybettor | May 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,097 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 147d | Stonktrader | May 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,987 | +$13 +0.3% | 4 |
| 147d | Arman2 | May 28 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,689 | −$31 −1.8% | — |
| 147d | Extra-Small-Weapon | May 28 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,998 | +$42 +1.1% | 4 |
| 147d | Gleaming-Pear3 fills | May 28 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,320 | +$122 +3.7% | 5 |
| 148d | CosmicCedar2 fills | May 29 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,241 | +$23 +0.7% | 4 |
| 148d | meagainsttheworld | May 29 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,325 | +$126 +5.4% | 5 |
| 148d | Trustinghorse | May 28 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 148d | Awkward-Bride | May 28 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,237 | +$47 +1.1% | 4 |
| 148d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | May 28 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,362 | +$54 +1.2% | 4 |
| 148d | Whole-Rating2 fills | May 28 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,120 | +$122 +2.0% | 5 |
| 150d | Trustinghorse | May 26 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,927 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 152d | anon.1980.123 | May 26 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$55 +4.4% | 4 |
| 152d | Sarcastic-Minimalism3 fills | May 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,194 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 152d | anon.1980.123 | May 25 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$70 +6.1% | 4 |
| 153d | anon.1980.123 | May 24 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | +$131 +8.3% | 5 |
| 154d |  0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f | May 23 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$39 +3.5% | 4 |
| 154d | anon.1980.123 | May 23 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$123 +7.7% | 4 |
| 155d | Gleaming-Pear2 fills | May 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,817 | +$28 +0.2% | 4 |
| 155d | anon.1980.123 | May 22 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$56 +4.2% | 4 |
| 155d | Elaborate-Particular | May 22 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$73 +5.4% | 4 |
| 155d | anon.1980.123 | May 21 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,876 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 155d | 0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f | May 21 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,088 | +$51 +1.6% | 4 |
| 156d |  Kalags | May 21 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,749 | −$127 −7.3% | — |
| 156d | Kalags | May 21 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,827 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 156d | anon.1980.123 | May 21 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$96 +5.4% | 4 |
| 157d | Gleaming-Pear | May 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,367 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 157d | yougotme | May 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,459 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 157d |  Trading4Fridge | May 20 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 160d | meagainsttheworld | May 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,301 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 161d | CosmicCedar | May 15 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$34 +2.9% | 4 |
| 162d | lorry3122 | May 17 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | +$240 +16% | 4 |
| 162d | Whole-Rating | May 14 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,885 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 162d |  The-Joker | May 14 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,767 | +$28 +1.0% | 4 |
| 162d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd3 fills | May 14 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,922 | +$214 +3.6% | 4 |
AlwaysRegressing21,112 shares
Chanthol12,476 shares
Teosty10,303 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for May 28 means the market gives it about 100%.