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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 482d | xcnstrategy | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,171 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 482d |  debased | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,658 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 483d |  mombil | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,681 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 508d | Sparkles | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | −$16 −1.3% | — |
| 520d | G122 | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 529d | lowrisk2 | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,454 | −$46 −1.9% | — |
| 534d |  Coram_Deo3 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,281 | +$422 +3.7% | 4 |
| 543d | TheBoyBilly... | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,771 | −$59 −3.3% | — |
| 568d |  allenzzz3 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,756 | +$179 +3.8% | 4 |
| 568d |  MEPP4 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,161 | −$406 −5.0% | — |
| 570d |  Car2 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,130 | −$291 −4.8% | — |
| 570d | lowrisk2 | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$55 +4.6% | 4 |
| 579d |  just.some.guy | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,267 | −$478 −5.8% | — |
| 579d | trader2e13 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,411 | −$292 −5.4% | — |
| 583d | wolfmoon | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,820 | −$209 −5.5% | — |
| 586d | Car5 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,550 | +$450 +6.0% | 4 |
| 587d | denizz3 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,766 | −$638 −5.9% | — |
| 589d | trader2e12 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,137 | +$223 +4.3% | 4 |
| 589d |  Quizzical-Vision | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,465 | +$1,465 +100% | — |
| 590d | rulki | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$74 +7.0% | 4 |
| 591d | zephyrax | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,950 | −$1,950 −100% | 9 |
| 593d | 0x2cfD6815 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $20,101 | +$1,347 +6.7% | 4 |
| 594d | xcnstrategy2 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,931 | +$431 +8.7% | 4 |
| 595d | Sparkles | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$97 +8.9% | 4 |
| 596d | just.some.guy2 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,821 | +$653 +11% | 4 |
| 596d | Nomorebet-625 | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,967 | +$516 +10% | 4 |
| 596d | denizz4 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $8,265 | +$1,436 +17% | 4 |
| 596d | debased2 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,618 | +$475 +13% | 4 |
| 597d | GentlemonAsta | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$219 +17% | 4 |
| 598d | lava-lava | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,157 | +$337 +16% | 4 |
| 598d | wolfmoon | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$529 +13% | 4 |
| 598d | G1222 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $9,756 | +$1,333 +14% | 4 |
| 598d |  TheFund3 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,607 | +$766 +14% | 4 |
| 598d |  xset | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$261 +15% | 4 |
| 599d |  mr.ozi | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,469 | +$386 +16% | 4 |
| 599d | 0x32d6758638b5c7634b43i5kl0342jwb8n2j676 | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $2,377 | −$2,377 −100% | 10 |
| 599d |  TheKinginYellow | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,704 | +$296 +17% | 4 |
| 601d |  beigesun2 fills | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,917 | −$373 −9.5% | — |
| 602d | SitsToPee | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,052 | −$195 −9.5% | — |
| 613d | beigesun | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 4 |
| 662d |  mzaa | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$38 +3.3% | 4 |
AKallday7,398 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. The US's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The US must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.