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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | 44% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 43¢ · 45¢ (2¢) | $72.5 | — |
| Madrid | 22% | −4 pts | −14 pts | 19¢ · 25¢ (6¢) | $60.6 | — |
| Moroccan city | 18% | — | +4 pts | 18¢ · 19¢ (1¢) | $55 | — |
| Barcelona | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $106 | — |
| Portuguese city | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $106 | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d |  Car | Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | SellYes51¢ → 44¢ | $1,684 | +$218 +13% | — |
| 12d |  Socialista | Madrid | SellNo62¢ → 78¢ | $1,116 | −$288 −26% | — |
| 13d | Car2 fills | Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | BuyYes45¢ → 44¢ | $3,683 | −$94 −2.6% | 24 |
| 20d |  vinii | Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | BuyNo51¢ → 56¢ | $5,965 | +$619 +10% | 24 |
| 21d |  Anjun | Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | SellNo51¢ → 56¢ | $1,133 | −$111 −9.8% | — |
| 21d | vinii | Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | BuyYes39¢ → 44¢ | $4,740 | +$608 +13% | 24 |
| 36d |  Hot-SkullHomelessBegger6 fills | Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | SellYes41¢ → 44¢ | $15,154 | −$1,039 −6.9% | — |
| 45d | vinii | Madrid | SellYes40¢ → 22¢ | $2,606 | +$1,190 +46% | — |
| 46d | Bigggggggg | Moroccan city | BuyNo90¢ → 82¢ | $1,805 | −$155 −8.6% | 11 |
| 46d | Hot-SkullHomelessBegger7 fills | Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | BuyYes36¢ → 44¢ | $17,781 | +$3,770 +21% | 24 |
| 46d | vinii | Madrid | BuyYes40¢ → 22¢ | $2,560 | −$1,144 −45% | 24 |
Car9,111 shares
PaddyAlpha618 sharesSocialista500 shares
OhneScharf1,600 shares
satokaede357 shares
Zenith-Nadir88 sharesThis market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own. If FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials. A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final. If no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 44¢ for Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 means the market gives it about 44%.