| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 300 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $240 | +$4 +1.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $177 | +$23 +15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 225 | 74¢ → 79¢ | $177 | +$10 +5.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 168 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $158 | +$18 +13% |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October?Ends in 7d | No | 151 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $151 | +$32 +27% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 200 | 63¢ → 68¢ | $135 | +$8 +6.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 200 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $133 | +$9 +7.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 140 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $116 | +$6 +5.4% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 177 | 49¢ → 60¢ | $105 | +$19 +23% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 110 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $98 | −$2 −1.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$6 +6.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$17 +20% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$5 +5.7% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$3 +3.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$20 +26% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 150 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $94 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$5 +5.2% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$16 +22% |
| Will Claude go down 14+ times in October?Ends in 7d | No | 83 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $83 | +$11 +15% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 95 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $79 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 100 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $71 | −$2 −2.8% |
| Cowboys vs. EaglesEnds in 2d | Eagles | 200 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $69 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Dolphins vs. JetsEnds in 7h | Dolphins | 200 | 34¢ → 34¢ | $67 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | No | 120 | 70¢ → 56¢ | $67 | −$18 −21% |
| Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Ends ended | No | 100 | 72¢ → 62¢ | $62 | −$10 −13% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1164d | Yes | 94 | 60¢ → 64¢ | $60 | +$4 +6.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 60 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$5 +9.4% |
| Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?Ends in 71d | No | 103 | 58¢ → 55¢ | $56 | −$4 −6.0% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 56 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $53 | +$2 +4.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 50 | 65¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$17 +52% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 25¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$35 +278% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 50 | 63¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$14 +45% |
| Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?Ends in 85d | Yes | 111 | 45¢ → 41¢ | $46 | −$4 −8.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $45 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?Ends in 85d | Yes | 60 | 66¢ → 71¢ | $42 | +$3 +6.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 50 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $40 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?Ends in 85d | Yes | 157 | 32¢ → 24¢ | $37 | −$13 −26% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 75¢ → 67¢ | $34 | −$4 −11% |
| Will Trump post "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 63¢ | $31 | −$15 −33% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $31 | +$2 +6.3% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 100 | 77¢ → 28¢ | $29 | −$49 −63% |
| Will Lionel Messi sign a contract extension beyond the 2028 MLS season?Ends in 799d | No | 60 | 52¢ → 48¢ | $29 | −$3 −8.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 67d | No | 150 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $28 | −$6 −17% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 56¢ → 59¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 50 | 44¢ → 43¢ | $21 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 63¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$6 +50% |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 531 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $18 | −$16 −47% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 80 | 44¢ → 23¢ | $18 | −$17 −49% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $15 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 60 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $11 | −$4 −27% |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 156 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $11 | +$6 +131% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 60 | 55¢ → 17¢ | $10 | −$23 −69% |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 51 | 8¢ → 15¢ | $8 | +$4 +97% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 40 | 11¢ → 19¢ | $7 | +$3 +70% |
| Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?Ends in 799d | Anthropic | 9 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $7 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 48¢ → 62¢ | $6 | +$1 +28% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 62¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$25 −81% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 20 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 46¢ → 33¢ | $3 | −$1 −28% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$5 −64% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 208 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$7 −74% |
| Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $3 | +$1 +82% |
| Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 60 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$14 −98% |
| Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 50.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 57 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Patriots vs. BearsSettled - ready to redeem | Patriots | 122 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 121 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will France win on 2026-09-25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 147 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Eagles vs. JaguarsSettled - ready to redeem | Eagles | 133 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 14+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 62 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 170 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his Midterm Rally in New York?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Steelers vs. BuccaneersSettled - ready to redeem | Buccaneers | 221 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 47.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 41 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Rams vs. EaglesSettled - ready to redeem | Eagles | 80 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-09?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-09-28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 95 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| TSV 1860 München vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 65 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Cadillac" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Colts vs. CommandersSettled - ready to redeem | Commanders | 157 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 139 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 64 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 74 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Dolphins vs. 49ersSettled - ready to redeem | Dolphins | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will TSV 1860 München win on 2026-08-22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 94 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
