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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | 100% | 0 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| South Korea | 0% | −36 pts | −93 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egypt | 100% | +1 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ghana | 100% | 0 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Portugal | 100% | — | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spain | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan | 100% | 0 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canada | 100% | 0 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Scotland | 0% | −2 pts | −66 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −73 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| England | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sweden | 100% | +8 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iraq | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Senegal | 100% | +43 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Turkiye | 0% | −47 pts | −80 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 100% | +15 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| France | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Curacao | 0% | −5 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −35 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Algeria | 100% | +33 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brazil | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Morocco | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ecuador | 100% | +76 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Qatar | 0% | −13 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cape Verde | 100% | +30 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| DR Congo | 100% | +45 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Norway | 100% | +3 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Belgium | 100% | +7 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Paraguay | 100% | +2 pts | +58 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| New Zealand | 0% | −5 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 100% | +9 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Haiti | 0% | −4 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 100% | +31 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Austria | 100% | +14 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| USA | 100% | +2 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | −1 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tunisia | 0% | −6 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Panama | 0% | −11 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan | 0% | −10 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mexico | 100% | +3 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −24 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uruguay | 0% | −34 pts | −77 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ivory Coast | 100% | +2 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| South Africa | 100% | +82 pts | +82 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Germany | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Colombia | 100% | +2 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Argentina | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118d |  RVGym | Iran | SellNo>99¢ | $1,522 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | YP.SON | Iran | SellNo>99¢ | $2,983 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | Utter-Lending | Iran | SellNo>99¢ | $2,748 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | omoi0i02 fills | Iran | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $12,690 | +$3,403 +27% | 11 |
| 118d | roflingbets | Austria | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,972 | −$1,972 −100% | 4 |
| 118d | MenacingTurtle | Algeria | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $2,158 | +$2,991 +139% | 4 |
| 118d | tbn888 | Austria | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,918 | +$88 +4.6% | 4 |
| 118d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Iran | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,496 | −$1,496 −100% | 4 |
| 118d | blkmont3 fills | Iran | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $5,213 | −$5,213 −100% | 11 |
| 118d | omoi0i0 | Austria | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$231 +12% | 4 |
| 118d | rwo2 fills | Iran | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $5,375 | +$5,625 +105% | 4 |
| 118d | neutralwave23 | Austria | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | +$243 +13% | 4 |
| 118d | 0F62 | South Korea | SellNo>99¢ | $9,411 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e | Iran | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $2,114 | −$2,386 −113% | — |
| 118d | c2st | Iran | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | −$2,225 −115% | — |
| 118d | 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e | Iran | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | +$2,245 +103% | 4 |
| 118d | 0x49F206 | DR Congo | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | +$17 +1.3% | 4 |
| 118d | 0x49F206 | South Korea | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,792 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 118d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Austria | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,708 | −$602 −22% | — |
| 118d |  AndreaPirlo | DR Congo | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,373 | −$541 −12% | — |
| 118d | omoi0i0 | South Korea | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 4 |
| 118d | blkmont7 fills | South Korea | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $28,311 | +$10,116 +36% | 8 |
| 118d | omoi0i0 | Algeria | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $2,086 | −$2,086 −100% | 4 |
| 118d | 0x0f41…af08 | South Korea | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,926 | −$455 −24% | — |
| 118d |  pomelopeel | South Korea | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $3,908 | −$854 −22% | — |
| 118d |  su2814 fills | South Korea | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $23,235 | +$9,946 +43% | 4 |
| 118d | MenacingTurtle | DR Congo | BuyYes19¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$6,069 +421% | 4 |
| 118d | prostoludoman | South Korea | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $5,242 | −$5,242 −100% | 4 |
| 118d | fishingforprofits | South Korea | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,419 | −$1,419 −100% | 4 |
| 118d | Spielman | Algeria | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$344 +34% | 4 |
| 118d | 0F6245 fills | South Korea | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $553,493 | +$86,592 +16% | 8 |
| 118d | ndb1 | Croatia | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,128 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 118d | tbn888 | Croatia | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | −$100 −5.3% | — |
| 118d | Anooshak790 | South Korea | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | −$141 −11% | — |
| 118d | InsiderPelosi | DR Congo | SellNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,556 | +$1,556 +100% | — |
| 118d | suntori | Iran | SellYes66¢ → 0¢ | $1,325 | +$1,325 +100% | — |
| 118d | tbn888 | Croatia | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,934 | +$137 +2.8% | 5 |
| 118d | izowooi-naver | Croatia | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,016 | +$84 +4.2% | 5 |
| 118d | blkmont | Iran | BuyNo30¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$4,285 +233% | 14 |
| 118d | blkmont2 fills | South Korea | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $8,149 | −$1,851 −23% | — |
| 118d | blkmont | Iran | SellYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,010 | +$1,010 +100% | — |
| 118d | 0x0f41…af08 | South Korea | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$381 +19% | 9 |
| 118d | pomelopeel | South Korea | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$762 +19% | 9 |
| 118d | rapida | Croatia | BuyNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,288 | −$1,288 −100% | 14 |
| 118d | Karammmba | DR Congo | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 14 |
| 118d | ndb1 | Scotland | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,468 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 118d | su281 | Croatia | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,918 | +$868 +18% | 9 |
| 118d | m33zy | Scotland | SellNo>99¢ | $1,253 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 118d | LuisXIV | South Korea | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,105 | −$431 −20% | — |
| 118d | MaciBetting233 fills | Algeria | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $9,242 | +$2,559 +28% | 5 |
| 118d | impaul | South Korea | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,613 | +$688 +19% | 8 |
| 118d | impaul | Croatia | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | +$318 +19% | 8 |
| 118d | cigarettes2 fills | Iran | BuyNo25¢ → 100¢ | $2,688 | +$8,063 +300% | 12 |
| 118d | elPolloLoco | South Korea | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $7,733 | +$1,697 +22% | 9 |
| 118d | Karammmba | Iran | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,511 | −$1,511 −100% | 11 |
| 118d | Radahn-131 | South Korea | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,571 | +$1,003 +22% | 9 |
| 118d | MaciBetting23 | South Korea | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,737 | −$1,737 −100% | 12 |
| 118d | suntori | Iran | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,845 | −$1,845 −100% | 11 |
| 118d | SplendidAmadeus2 fills | South Korea | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,057 | +$493 +24% | 7 |
| 119d | Outrageous-Appointment | Iran | BuyNo25¢ → 100¢ | $1,596 | +$4,839 +303% | 12 |
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Switzerland means the market gives it about 100%.