LunarFlame

Polymarket wallet 0x04fefd413f95d737aba76384bab957d37e48035e · on Polymarket since Apr 28, 2026 · also shown as Writhing-Horn-Chronograph

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $2.85
All-time profit: +$2.15
Volume traded: $39
All-time rank: #637,348
Markets traded: 11
Recent hit rate: 70%7 of last 10 closed

Open positions

1 markets · $2.85

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	82¢ → 100¢	$3	+$1 +22%

Latest trades

last 16

When	Market	Bet	Size
12d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	BuyDown82¢	$2
46d	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	SellNo97¢	$2
52d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	BuyUp84¢	$2
61d	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	BuyNo95¢	$2
85d	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	SellNo93¢	$1
86d	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	SellNo97¢	$2
86d	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SellNo87¢	$2
86d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellNo90¢	$1
107d	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	BuyNo96¢	$2
107d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo91¢	$1
107d	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BuyNo87¢	$2
107d	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	BuyNo94¢	$2
118d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	BuyDown99¢	$3
147d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BuyDown85¢	$1
177d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	BuyDown98¢	$6
177d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	BuyUp83¢	$5

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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