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Polymarket wallet 0x09114125766b6926ab25bf719157fe1155126594 · on Polymarket since Jul 20, 2026 · also shown as Grounded-Penicillin-Sparrow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 7,888 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $7,722 | +$492 +6.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 7,232 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $6,176 | +$176 +2.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 3,232 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $3,146 | +$146 +4.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2,790 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $2,553 | −$42 −1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3,283 | 63¢ → 68¢ | $2,216 | +$148 +7.1% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2,105 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2,076 | +$76 +3.8% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2,024 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $2,005 | +$205 +11% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 86 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $6 | −$0 −7.1% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.