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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 540 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $522 | +$15 +2.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 308 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $308 | +$15 +5.3% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5,300 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $159 | +$23 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 115 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $106 | +$6 +5.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 210 | 64¢ → 21¢ | $43 | −$91 −68% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 665 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$1 −7.7% |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 35¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$12 −85% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.