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Polymarket wallet 0x0ce7d8a2565bf1f5fcc6424ee8a8c714d1efa55c · on Polymarket since Jun 23, 2024 · also shown as Well-To-Do-Waist
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 24 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Kari Lake appointed ambassador to Mexico?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 311d | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo98¢ | $290 |
| 355d | Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | BuyNo>99¢ | $290 |
| 362d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyNo99¢ | $165 |
| 374d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $20 |
| 374d | Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31? | SellNo96¢ | $1,003 |
| 374d | Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31? | BuyNo98¢ | $1,020 |
| 374d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo97¢ | $1,020 |
| 374d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $1,022 |
| 683d | Kari Lake appointed ambassador to Mexico? | BuyYes54¢ | $1 |
| 708d | Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG? | BuyYes82¢ | $1 |
| 730d | Will Trump election interference trial start in September or October? | BuyNo100¢ | $2 |
| 758d | Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1? | BuyYes98¢ | $3 |
| 790d | RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? | BuyYes96¢ | $2 |
| 826d | Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26? | BuyYes69¢ | $2 |
| 852d | Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election? | BuyYes83¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.