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Polymarket wallet 0x11177dbc2f46900abab010a27e4559c780c12972 · on Polymarket since Jun 24, 2025 · also shown as These-Deathwatch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next James Bond be British?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 117 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 182 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| OpenAI acquired in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?Settled - ready to redeem | 100k | 60 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 157 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 97 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo8¢ | $5 |
| 131d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BuyNo14¢ | $5 |
| 378d | Will no leader be out in 2025? | SellYes1¢ | $0 |
| 483d | Will the next James Bond be British? | BuyYes70¢ | $25 |
| 483d | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? | BuyYes11¢ | $5 |
| 483d | Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | BuyNo11¢ | $20 |
| 485d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first? | Buy100k25¢ | $15 |
| 485d | Will no leader be out in 2025? | BuyYes37¢ | $15 |
| 487d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes13¢ | $15 |
| 489d | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23? | BuyNo10¢ | $10 |
| 491d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyNo5¢ | $8 |
| 494d | OpenAI acquired in 2025? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 494d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyYes48¢ | $100 |
| 494d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyYes47¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.