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Polymarket wallet 0x18cef2a163109172494c1f6997ac69886ac1a3dd · on Polymarket since Jul 2, 2024 · also shown as Thoughtful-Mobster
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 341d | House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? | BuyYes94¢ | $20 |
| 641d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyYes63¢ | $29 |
| 641d | Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's? | BuyNo53¢ | $54 |
| 641d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo70¢ | $3 |
| 641d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo70¢ | $12 |
| 641d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo70¢ | $12 |
| 641d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo70¢ | $23 |
| 743d | Solana above $145 on October 11? | BuyNo94¢ | $32 |
| 777d | Will Jessica Pegula win the US Open? | BuyNo73¢ | $32 |
| 786d | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes47¢ | $36 |
| 786d | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes62¢ | $47 |
| 791d | Jets vs. Giants | BuyJets44¢ | $20 |
| 805d | Iran military response by Monday? | BuyYes24¢ | $26 |
| 821d | Will Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech? | BuyYes77¢ | $16 |
| 835d | Will the match be a draw? | BuyYes35¢ | $17 |
| 843d | Will the Netherlands win? | BuyYes69¢ | $31 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.