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Polymarket wallet 0x1ec78722e98ff96dbc0b722d4b4ab48ab7aba3f4 · on Polymarket since Nov 29, 2024 · also shown as Noisy-Knowhow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 54¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$4 +85% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +19% |
| Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 486d | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ | $5 |
| 486d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo54¢ | $5 |
| 486d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ | $5 |
| 486d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15? | BuyNo60¢ | $5 |
| 487d | Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyNo63¢ | $5 |
| 487d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyNo71¢ | $5 |
| 488d | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.