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Polymarket wallet 0x22f7acafc239b8ef1c0588e0c384379670714a6f · on Polymarket since Nov 20, 2024 · also shown as Flimsy-Slump
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany confidence vote in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 186 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,016 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 229 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 657 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 178 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 615d | Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
| 663d | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes7¢ | $15 |
| 675d | Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
| 675d | Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
| 682d | Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
| 702d | Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
| 702d | German Bundestag dissolved in 2024? | BuyNo21¢ | $10 |
| 702d | Germany confidence vote in 2024? | BuyNo5¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.