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Polymarket wallet 0x2908f810293fe0280bcb6f8e37e2fc22423091f5 · on Polymarket since Aug 24, 2026 · also shown as Buoyant-Wren-Proportion
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5,917 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $5,178 | +$119 +2.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2,794 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $2,585 | −$14 −0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 868 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $848 | +$22 +2.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 797 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $749 | +$56 +8.0% |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 736 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $666 | +$34 +5.5% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 658 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $576 | +$76 +15% |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 515 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $485 | +$85 +21% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 334 | 60¢ → 81¢ | $269 | +$69 +34% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 111 | 90¢ → 78¢ | $86 | −$14 −14% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 28 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.