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Polymarket wallet 0x298ef6557f7f9cef40b844e9d727b6f0f7820228 · on Polymarket since Feb 6, 2026 · also shown as Broken-Machinery
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.4% |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.7% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 240d | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
| 244d | Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28? | BuyNo94¢ | $5 |
| 244d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes83¢ | $1 |
| 244d | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BuyYes95¢ | $5 |
| 244d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $1 |
| 244d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BuyNo87¢ | $1 |
| 244d | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BuyNo82¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | BuyNo95¢ | $1 |
| 260d | Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ | $2 |
| 260d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyNo58¢ | $2 |
| 260d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo81¢ | $1 |
| 260d | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | BuyYes71¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.