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Polymarket wallet 0x2a29dd263d2b82881d42bb45d900bbb3b958bf9d · on Polymarket since Dec 21, 2024 · also shown as Irritating-Insurrection
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,015 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $949 | +$49 +5.5% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 333 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $315 | +$15 +5.0% |
| Claude 4 released in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 198 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 313 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$275 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,500 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$800 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 21 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.