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Polymarket wallet 0x2c81da27fd225df9391786d03f73539cf181d30d · on Polymarket since Oct 10, 2023 · also shown as Well-Documented-Restriction
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI board out by end of week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +25% |
| Will Iran officially join the war in 2023?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| SBF guilty of all charges?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 166 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Man City win the Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1063d | Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? | SellYes1¢ | $2 |
| 1066d | OpenAI board out by end of week? | BuyNo80¢ | $5 |
| 1066d | Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 1066d | Trump and Biden both win nomination? | SellYes68¢ | $10 |
| 1086d | Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? | BuyNo9¢ | $15 |
| 1086d | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | SellNo56¢ | $14 |
| 1092d | Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? | BuyYes10¢ | $15 |
| 1092d | Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? | SellYes30¢ | $16 |
| 1093d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyNo70¢ | $7 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.